Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the SPD stabilizing near 28-29 percent, down from its 2021 result of nearly 40 percent, while the AfD leads at 35-36 percent. This positioning, combined with the five-percent threshold and proportional seat allocation, points traders toward the 22-25 seat band as the most probable outcome. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s campaign emphasizes state-level stability and coalition options with the Left, providing modest upward pressure on SPD support, yet persistent AfD strength in eastern Germany and limited prospects for smaller parties like the Greens or FDP constrain higher seat totals. Minor recent gains for the SPD have reinforced the current market consensus without shifting probabilities dramatically.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano22-25 52%
26-29 23%
30-33 8%
18-21 5.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<18
1%
18-21
6%
22-25
52%
26-29
23%
30-33
8%
34+
<1%
22-25 52%
26-29 23%
30-33 8%
18-21 5.9%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<18
$698 Wol.
1%
18-21
$318 Wol.
6%
22-25
$1,554 Wol.
52%
26-29
$779 Wol.
23%
30-33
$188 Wol.
8%
34+
$383 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the SPD stabilizing near 28-29 percent, down from its 2021 result of nearly 40 percent, while the AfD leads at 35-36 percent. This positioning, combined with the five-percent threshold and proportional seat allocation, points traders toward the 22-25 seat band as the most probable outcome. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s campaign emphasizes state-level stability and coalition options with the Left, providing modest upward pressure on SPD support, yet persistent AfD strength in eastern Germany and limited prospects for smaller parties like the Greens or FDP constrain higher seat totals. Minor recent gains for the SPD have reinforced the current market consensus without shifting probabilities dramatically.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
Wolumen
$3,921Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the SPD stabilizing near 28-29 percent, down from its 2021 result of nearly 40 percent, while the AfD leads at 35-36 percent. This positioning, combined with the five-percent threshold and proportional seat allocation, points traders toward the 22-25 seat band as the most probable outcome. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s campaign emphasizes state-level stability and coalition options with the Left, providing modest upward pressure on SPD support, yet persistent AfD strength in eastern Germany and limited prospects for smaller parties like the Greens or FDP constrain higher seat totals. Minor recent gains for the SPD have reinforced the current market consensus without shifting probabilities dramatically.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the SPD party in the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Wolumen
$3,921Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the September 20, 2026, Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Landtag election show the SPD stabilizing near 28-29 percent, down from its 2021 result of nearly 40 percent, while the AfD leads at 35-36 percent. This positioning, combined with the five-percent threshold and proportional seat allocation, points traders toward the 22-25 seat band as the most probable outcome. Incumbent Minister-President Manuela Schwesig’s campaign emphasizes state-level stability and coalition options with the Left, providing modest upward pressure on SPD support, yet persistent AfD strength in eastern Germany and limited prospects for smaller parties like the Greens or FDP constrain higher seat totals. Minor recent gains for the SPD have reinforced the current market consensus without shifting probabilities dramatically.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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