The closely matched market prices for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect a competitive direct election for Oldenburg's Oberbürgermeister on September 13, 2026, with a potential runoff on September 27 if no candidate secures an outright majority. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local councilor and state legislator, draws on established party infrastructure and voter familiarity, while Rohr, running as an independent with joint backing from the CDU and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, benefits from cross-party coalition support that broadens his appeal beyond traditional bases. The remaining candidates hold minimal implied probabilities, underscoring that separation will likely hinge on first-round turnout patterns, local policy contrasts over housing, mobility, and finances, and any late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the runoff window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoUlf Prange 55%
Jascha Rohr 40%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$20,368 Wol.
$20,368 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
47%
Jascha Rohr
40%
Sebastian Fröhlich
<1%
Heike Boldt
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
<1%
Yakup Castur
<1%
Byanca Küßner
<1%
Michael Stille
<1%
Ralf Butzin
<1%
Ulf Prange 55%
Jascha Rohr 40%
Sebastian Fröhlich <1%
Heike Boldt <1%
$20,368 Wol.
$20,368 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
Ulf Prange
$7,936 Wol.
47%
Jascha Rohr
$5,915 Wol.
40%
Sebastian Fröhlich
$971 Wol.
<1%
Heike Boldt
$881 Wol.
<1%
Holger Martin Wilkens
$712 Wol.
<1%
Yakup Castur
$517 Wol.
<1%
Byanca Küßner
$1,083 Wol.
<1%
Michael Stille
$1,134 Wol.
<1%
Ralf Butzin
$1,219 Wol.
<1%
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The closely matched market prices for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect a competitive direct election for Oldenburg's Oberbürgermeister on September 13, 2026, with a potential runoff on September 27 if no candidate secures an outright majority. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local councilor and state legislator, draws on established party infrastructure and voter familiarity, while Rohr, running as an independent with joint backing from the CDU and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, benefits from cross-party coalition support that broadens his appeal beyond traditional bases. The remaining candidates hold minimal implied probabilities, underscoring that separation will likely hinge on first-round turnout patterns, local policy contrasts over housing, mobility, and finances, and any late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the runoff window.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ET
Wolumen
$20,368Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.The closely matched market prices for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect a competitive direct election for Oldenburg's Oberbürgermeister on September 13, 2026, with a potential runoff on September 27 if no candidate secures an outright majority. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local councilor and state legislator, draws on established party infrastructure and voter familiarity, while Rohr, running as an independent with joint backing from the CDU and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, benefits from cross-party coalition support that broadens his appeal beyond traditional bases. The remaining candidates hold minimal implied probabilities, underscoring that separation will likely hinge on first-round turnout patterns, local policy contrasts over housing, mobility, and finances, and any late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the runoff window.
The next Oldenburg mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Oldenburg, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Oldenburg). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Oldenburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Oldenburg, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Wolumen
$20,368Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 7:13 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched market prices for Ulf Prange and Jascha Rohr reflect a competitive direct election for Oldenburg's Oberbürgermeister on September 13, 2026, with a potential runoff on September 27 if no candidate secures an outright majority. Prange, the SPD nominee and long-serving local councilor and state legislator, draws on established party infrastructure and voter familiarity, while Rohr, running as an independent with joint backing from the CDU and Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, benefits from cross-party coalition support that broadens his appeal beyond traditional bases. The remaining candidates hold minimal implied probabilities, underscoring that separation will likely hinge on first-round turnout patterns, local policy contrasts over housing, mobility, and finances, and any late shifts in voter mobilization ahead of the runoff window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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