Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral runoff stems primarily from her status as incumbent CDU candidate and her 42.2 percent share in the September 13 first round, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent. This performance built on her 2021 runoff victory and reflects sustained local support for her record on economic development, city projects, and cross-party appeal. With the September 27 runoff approaching, trader consensus assigns her high implied probability based on these results and typical runoff dynamics favoring frontrunners. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low turnout favoring the challenger, consolidation of opposition votes, or last-minute shifts in voter sentiment ahead of election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKatharina Pötter 91.8%
Volker Bajus 4.2%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$84,510 Wol.
$84,510 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
92%
Volker Bajus
4%
Robert Alferink
1%
Oliver Hasskamp
1%
Thomas Groß
<1%
Thorsten Wassermann
<1%
Katharina Pötter 91.8%
Volker Bajus 4.2%
Robert Alferink 1.0%
Oliver Hasskamp <1%
$84,510 Wol.
$84,510 Wol.
Sep 13, 2026
Katharina Pötter
$64,108 Wol.
92%
Volker Bajus
$1,676 Wol.
4%
Robert Alferink
$15,808 Wol.
1%
Oliver Hasskamp
$1,730 Wol.
1%
Thomas Groß
$385 Wol.
<1%
Thorsten Wassermann
$803 Wol.
<1%
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral runoff stems primarily from her status as incumbent CDU candidate and her 42.2 percent share in the September 13 first round, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent. This performance built on her 2021 runoff victory and reflects sustained local support for her record on economic development, city projects, and cross-party appeal. With the September 27 runoff approaching, trader consensus assigns her high implied probability based on these results and typical runoff dynamics favoring frontrunners. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low turnout favoring the challenger, consolidation of opposition votes, or last-minute shifts in voter sentiment ahead of election day.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Wolumen
$84,510Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral runoff stems primarily from her status as incumbent CDU candidate and her 42.2 percent share in the September 13 first round, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent. This performance built on her 2021 runoff victory and reflects sustained local support for her record on economic development, city projects, and cross-party appeal. With the September 27 runoff approaching, trader consensus assigns her high implied probability based on these results and typical runoff dynamics favoring frontrunners. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low turnout favoring the challenger, consolidation of opposition votes, or last-minute shifts in voter sentiment ahead of election day.
The next Osnabrück mayoral election is scheduled to be held on September 13, 2026, to elect the mayor of Osnabrück, Germany (Oberbürgermeister der Stadt Osnabrück). A runoff election is scheduled for September 27, 2026, if no candidate receives more than half of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Osnabrück as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Stadt Osnabrück, including its election office and municipal election committee.
Wolumen
$84,510Data zakończenia
Sep 13, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 7:09 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Katharina Pötter’s commanding position in the Osnabrück mayoral runoff stems primarily from her status as incumbent CDU candidate and her 42.2 percent share in the September 13 first round, well ahead of Volker Bajus of the Greens at 22.3 percent. This performance built on her 2021 runoff victory and reflects sustained local support for her record on economic development, city projects, and cross-party appeal. With the September 27 runoff approaching, trader consensus assigns her high implied probability based on these results and typical runoff dynamics favoring frontrunners. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually low turnout favoring the challenger, consolidation of opposition votes, or last-minute shifts in voter sentiment ahead of election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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