Recent July and early August 2026 polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show AfD support fluctuating between 18-21 percent and frequently tied or narrowly ahead of the CDU and Die Linke, producing seat projections clustered around 29-34. These figures reflect AfD’s sustained strength in eastern Germany and national momentum, tempered by Berlin’s more fragmented voter base where Greens and SPD retain notable shares. The absence of decisive late shifts or major campaign events has kept the two central ranges nearly even in trader pricing, while lower and higher bins price in smaller probabilities of polling error or turnout swings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano29-31 32%
32-34 30%
35+ 12.7%
26-28 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<20
4%
20-22
6%
23-25
5%
26-28
13%
29-31
32%
32-34
30%
35+
13%
29-31 32%
32-34 30%
35+ 12.7%
26-28 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$919 Wol.
4%
20-22
$1,489 Wol.
6%
23-25
$832 Wol.
5%
26-28
$614 Wol.
13%
29-31
$296 Wol.
32%
32-34
$198 Wol.
30%
35+
$3,111 Wol.
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent July and early August 2026 polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show AfD support fluctuating between 18-21 percent and frequently tied or narrowly ahead of the CDU and Die Linke, producing seat projections clustered around 29-34. These figures reflect AfD’s sustained strength in eastern Germany and national momentum, tempered by Berlin’s more fragmented voter base where Greens and SPD retain notable shares. The absence of decisive late shifts or major campaign events has kept the two central ranges nearly even in trader pricing, while lower and higher bins price in smaller probabilities of polling error or turnout swings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$7,459Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent July and early August 2026 polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show AfD support fluctuating between 18-21 percent and frequently tied or narrowly ahead of the CDU and Die Linke, producing seat projections clustered around 29-34. These figures reflect AfD’s sustained strength in eastern Germany and national momentum, tempered by Berlin’s more fragmented voter base where Greens and SPD retain notable shares. The absence of decisive late shifts or major campaign events has kept the two central ranges nearly even in trader pricing, while lower and higher bins price in smaller probabilities of polling error or turnout swings.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Wolumen
$7,459Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 6, 2026, 9:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July and early August 2026 polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show AfD support fluctuating between 18-21 percent and frequently tied or narrowly ahead of the CDU and Die Linke, producing seat projections clustered around 29-34. These figures reflect AfD’s sustained strength in eastern Germany and national momentum, tempered by Berlin’s more fragmented voter base where Greens and SPD retain notable shares. The absence of decisive late shifts or major campaign events has kept the two central ranges nearly even in trader pricing, while lower and higher bins price in smaller probabilities of polling error or turnout swings.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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