Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 21% support in August surveys. This narrow spread sustains competitive odds for second place, where traders currently price CDU highest followed closely by AfD. The CDU’s candidate change after the July resignation of lead contender Kai Wegner has introduced uncertainty into its campaign momentum, while AfD gains reflect broader national trends in eastern Germany. Low single-digit support for SPD and others limits their second-place prospects. Further shifts in turnout, late-campaign positioning on housing or migration, or additional leadership developments could alter the ordering among the leading three parties before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCDU 37%
AfD 33%
Linke 24%
Grüne 6%
$23,960 Wol.
$23,960 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
37%
AfD
33%
Linke
24%
Grüne
6%
SPD
2%
FDP
<1%
FW
<1%
BSW
<1%
CDU 37%
AfD 33%
Linke 24%
Grüne 6%
$23,960 Wol.
$23,960 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
CDU
$3,271 Wol.
37%
AfD
$5,376 Wol.
33%
Linke
$5,958 Wol.
24%
Grüne
$4,186 Wol.
6%
SPD
$3,060 Wol.
2%
FDP
$686 Wol.
<1%
FW
$640 Wol.
<1%
BSW
$783 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 21% support in August surveys. This narrow spread sustains competitive odds for second place, where traders currently price CDU highest followed closely by AfD. The CDU’s candidate change after the July resignation of lead contender Kai Wegner has introduced uncertainty into its campaign momentum, while AfD gains reflect broader national trends in eastern Germany. Low single-digit support for SPD and others limits their second-place prospects. Further shifts in turnout, late-campaign positioning on housing or migration, or additional leadership developments could alter the ordering among the leading three parties before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Rynek otwarty: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Wolumen
$23,960Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 21% support in August surveys. This narrow spread sustains competitive odds for second place, where traders currently price CDU highest followed closely by AfD. The CDU’s candidate change after the July resignation of lead contender Kai Wegner has introduced uncertainty into its campaign momentum, while AfD gains reflect broader national trends in eastern Germany. Low single-digit support for SPD and others limits their second-place prospects. Further shifts in turnout, late-campaign positioning on housing or migration, or additional leadership developments could alter the ordering among the leading three parties before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Wolumen
$23,960Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show a fragmented field, with Die Linke, CDU, AfD, and Greens clustered between roughly 16% and 21% support in August surveys. This narrow spread sustains competitive odds for second place, where traders currently price CDU highest followed closely by AfD. The CDU’s candidate change after the July resignation of lead contender Kai Wegner has introduced uncertainty into its campaign momentum, while AfD gains reflect broader national trends in eastern Germany. Low single-digit support for SPD and others limits their second-place prospects. Further shifts in turnout, late-campaign positioning on housing or migration, or additional leadership developments could alter the ordering among the leading three parties before election day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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