**Recent late-August 2026 polls place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4–6% in Sachsen-Anhalt, aligning with the market’s leading 5–7% outcome.** Infratest dimap (Aug 24–25) showed 6%, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (Aug 25–27) showed 6%, and earlier August surveys ranged from 4–5%. These figures sit just above or near the 5% threshold needed for Landtag entry ahead of the September 6 election. The AfD leads strongly at 40–43% but lacks coalition partners, making smaller parties’ results decisive for seat distribution and blocking scenarios. Grüne polling has remained stable or edged slightly higher in the final weeks, with campaign emphasis on turnout to secure representation and support broader democratic majorities. Limited late shifts or undecided voters (around 30% in some surveys) introduce modest downside risk reflected in the 3–5% price, while consistent recent data keeps outcomes above 7% or below 3% at low probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano5-7% 61%
3-5% 28%
7%+ 10.6%
<3% 3.4%
$34,446 Wol.
$34,446 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
3%
3-5%
28%
5-7%
61%
7%+
11%
5-7% 61%
3-5% 28%
7%+ 10.6%
<3% 3.4%
$34,446 Wol.
$34,446 Wol.
Sep 6, 2026
<3%
$1,050 Wol.
3%
3-5%
$6,434 Wol.
28%
5-7%
$22,582 Wol.
61%
7%+
$4,381 Wol.
11%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent late-August 2026 polls place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4–6% in Sachsen-Anhalt, aligning with the market’s leading 5–7% outcome.** Infratest dimap (Aug 24–25) showed 6%, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (Aug 25–27) showed 6%, and earlier August surveys ranged from 4–5%. These figures sit just above or near the 5% threshold needed for Landtag entry ahead of the September 6 election.
The AfD leads strongly at 40–43% but lacks coalition partners, making smaller parties’ results decisive for seat distribution and blocking scenarios. Grüne polling has remained stable or edged slightly higher in the final weeks, with campaign emphasis on turnout to secure representation and support broader democratic majorities. Limited late shifts or undecided voters (around 30% in some surveys) introduce modest downside risk reflected in the 3–5% price, while consistent recent data keeps outcomes above 7% or below 3% at low probability.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$34,446Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).**Recent late-August 2026 polls place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4–6% in Sachsen-Anhalt, aligning with the market’s leading 5–7% outcome.** Infratest dimap (Aug 24–25) showed 6%, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (Aug 25–27) showed 6%, and earlier August surveys ranged from 4–5%. These figures sit just above or near the 5% threshold needed for Landtag entry ahead of the September 6 election.
The AfD leads strongly at 40–43% but lacks coalition partners, making smaller parties’ results decisive for seat distribution and blocking scenarios. Grüne polling has remained stable or edged slightly higher in the final weeks, with campaign emphasis on turnout to secure representation and support broader democratic majorities. Limited late shifts or undecided voters (around 30% in some surveys) introduce modest downside risk reflected in the 3–5% price, while consistent recent data keeps outcomes above 7% or below 3% at low probability.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Grüne in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Wolumen
$34,446Data zakończenia
Sep 6, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 20, 2026, 2:31 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Recent late-August 2026 polls place Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 4–6% in Sachsen-Anhalt, aligning with the market’s leading 5–7% outcome.** Infratest dimap (Aug 24–25) showed 6%, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen (Aug 25–27) showed 6%, and earlier August surveys ranged from 4–5%. These figures sit just above or near the 5% threshold needed for Landtag entry ahead of the September 6 election. The AfD leads strongly at 40–43% but lacks coalition partners, making smaller parties’ results decisive for seat distribution and blocking scenarios. Grüne polling has remained stable or edged slightly higher in the final weeks, with campaign emphasis on turnout to secure representation and support broader democratic majorities. Limited late shifts or undecided voters (around 30% in some surveys) introduce modest downside risk reflected in the 3–5% price, while consistent recent data keeps outcomes above 7% or below 3% at low probability.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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