AfD holds a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polling averages at roughly 36 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 29 percent, with all other parties below 12 percent. This positions the party for a clear plurality in the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, consistent with its established strength in eastern states and voter shifts on issues such as immigration and economic conditions. The SPD–Left governing coalition faces headwinds from declining support, though personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig may limit losses. With the campaign entering its final month and no major intervening events reported, traders assign AfD an 84.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, reflecting the sustained gap in surveys and limited time for reversal. Other parties remain at negligible market levels given their projected seat shares.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$455,862 Wol.
$455,862 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
85%
SPD
16%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
FDP
<1%
BSW
<1%
AfD 85%
SPD 16%
Linke <1%
FW <1%
$455,862 Wol.
$455,862 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$79,746 Wol.
85%
SPD
$96,435 Wol.
16%
Linke
$27,668 Wol.
<1%
FW
$36,709 Wol.
<1%
CDU
$44,445 Wol.
<1%
Grüne
$71,444 Wol.
<1%
FDP
$77,089 Wol.
<1%
BSW
$22,326 Wol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD holds a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polling averages at roughly 36 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 29 percent, with all other parties below 12 percent. This positions the party for a clear plurality in the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, consistent with its established strength in eastern states and voter shifts on issues such as immigration and economic conditions. The SPD–Left governing coalition faces headwinds from declining support, though personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig may limit losses. With the campaign entering its final month and no major intervening events reported, traders assign AfD an 84.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, reflecting the sustained gap in surveys and limited time for reversal. Other parties remain at negligible market levels given their projected seat shares.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Rynek otwarty: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Wolumen
$455,862Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD holds a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polling averages at roughly 36 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 29 percent, with all other parties below 12 percent. This positions the party for a clear plurality in the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, consistent with its established strength in eastern states and voter shifts on issues such as immigration and economic conditions. The SPD–Left governing coalition faces headwinds from declining support, though personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig may limit losses. With the campaign entering its final month and no major intervening events reported, traders assign AfD an 84.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, reflecting the sustained gap in surveys and limited time for reversal. Other parties remain at negligible market levels given their projected seat shares.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Wolumen
$455,862Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD holds a commanding lead in recent Mecklenburg-Vorpommern polling averages at roughly 36 percent, well ahead of the incumbent SPD at 29 percent, with all other parties below 12 percent. This positions the party for a clear plurality in the September 20, 2026 Landtag election, consistent with its established strength in eastern states and voter shifts on issues such as immigration and economic conditions. The SPD–Left governing coalition faces headwinds from declining support, though personal popularity of Minister-President Manuela Schwesig may limit losses. With the campaign entering its final month and no major intervening events reported, traders assign AfD an 84.5 percent implied probability of finishing first, reflecting the sustained gap in surveys and limited time for reversal. Other parties remain at negligible market levels given their projected seat shares.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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