Traders price the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 State Duma election because of its established regional organizations, consistent historical support among older and rural voters, and reliable performance in prior cycles. Recent opinion polls from VCIOM and others show United Russia leading overall while KPRF, LDPR, and New People compete in the low-to-mid teens for the next spot, with KPRF often edging out rivals due to stronger grassroots infrastructure. LDPR benefits from name recognition and nationalist messaging but trails in organizational depth, while New People has posted occasional polling gains yet lacks comparable local networks. The market's heavy weighting toward KPRF reflects the view that these structural advantages will hold through the final campaign period despite ongoing competition among systemic opposition parties.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.3%
New People (NL) 6.6%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,416 Wol.
$313,416 Wol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
7%

New People (NL)
7%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 83%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 7.3%
New People (NL) 6.6%
United Russia (ER) <1%
$313,416 Wol.
$313,416 Wol.

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
83%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
7%

New People (NL)
7%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Yabloko
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 3:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) as the clear frontrunner for second place in the September 2026 State Duma election because of its established regional organizations, consistent historical support among older and rural voters, and reliable performance in prior cycles. Recent opinion polls from VCIOM and others show United Russia leading overall while KPRF, LDPR, and New People compete in the low-to-mid teens for the next spot, with KPRF often edging out rivals due to stronger grassroots infrastructure. LDPR benefits from name recognition and nationalist messaging but trails in organizational depth, while New People has posted occasional polling gains yet lacks comparable local networks. The market's heavy weighting toward KPRF reflects the view that these structural advantages will hold through the final campaign period despite ongoing competition among systemic opposition parties.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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