Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86% implied probability in the November 28, 2026, magistrate election as the designated successor to the term-limited KMT incumbent Yao Ching-ling. Traders cite the party's entrenched rural eastern county base, early party nomination in late 2025, and structural advantages over challengers. Chen Ying, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator, sits at 9% following former President Tsai Ing-wen's early August 2026 decision to chair her campaign after independent rival Liu Chao-hao withdrew, consolidating the opposition field. Independent Li Wu Ying-chih registers at 3.1%, reflecting limited viability amid the narrowed contest. The three-month window leaves scope for turnout shifts or late campaign developments to influence final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWu Hsiu-hua 87%
Chen Ying 9%
Li Wu Ying-chih 3.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Wu Hsiu-hua
87%
Chen Ying
9%
Li Wu Ying-chih
3%
Wu Hsiu-hua 87%
Chen Ying 9%
Li Wu Ying-chih 3.1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Wu Hsiu-hua
$3,123 Wol.
87%
Chen Ying
$1,284 Wol.
9%
Li Wu Ying-chih
$428 Wol.
3%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86% implied probability in the November 28, 2026, magistrate election as the designated successor to the term-limited KMT incumbent Yao Ching-ling. Traders cite the party's entrenched rural eastern county base, early party nomination in late 2025, and structural advantages over challengers. Chen Ying, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator, sits at 9% following former President Tsai Ing-wen's early August 2026 decision to chair her campaign after independent rival Liu Chao-hao withdrew, consolidating the opposition field. Independent Li Wu Ying-chih registers at 3.1%, reflecting limited viability amid the narrowed contest. The three-month window leaves scope for turnout shifts or late campaign developments to influence final resolution.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET
Wolumen
$4,835Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86% implied probability in the November 28, 2026, magistrate election as the designated successor to the term-limited KMT incumbent Yao Ching-ling. Traders cite the party's entrenched rural eastern county base, early party nomination in late 2025, and structural advantages over challengers. Chen Ying, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator, sits at 9% following former President Tsai Ing-wen's early August 2026 decision to chair her campaign after independent rival Liu Chao-hao withdrew, consolidating the opposition field. Independent Li Wu Ying-chih registers at 3.1%, reflecting limited viability amid the narrowed contest. The three-month window leaves scope for turnout shifts or late campaign developments to influence final resolution.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Wolumen
$4,835Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, holds an 86% implied probability in the November 28, 2026, magistrate election as the designated successor to the term-limited KMT incumbent Yao Ching-ling. Traders cite the party's entrenched rural eastern county base, early party nomination in late 2025, and structural advantages over challengers. Chen Ying, the Democratic Progressive Party legislator, sits at 9% following former President Tsai Ing-wen's early August 2026 decision to chair her campaign after independent rival Liu Chao-hao withdrew, consolidating the opposition field. Independent Li Wu Ying-chih registers at 3.1%, reflecting limited viability amid the narrowed contest. The three-month window leaves scope for turnout shifts or late campaign developments to influence final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania