New People leads trader expectations for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections at 42.5 percent implied probability, ahead of the LDPR at 33 percent and the KPRF at 15 percent, reflecting recent polling volatility among the main systemic opposition parties. Multiple August surveys place these three parties within a narrow band of roughly 8-13 percent support each, behind the dominant United Russia, with New People occasionally edging ahead in VTsIOM readings due to its appeal among younger and regional voters while the LDPR draws on established nationalist networks and the KPRF on its longstanding communist base. The contest remains tight because of comparable organizational reach, limited differentiation on core foreign-policy lines, and the absence of major disruptive events in the final weeks before voting. Scheduled campaign activity and any late shifts in turnout or administrative preferences could still reorder the finish among these contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoNew People (NL) 43%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.1%
$55,398 Wol.
$55,398 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
15%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%
New People (NL)
43%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
1%
New People (NL) 43%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 15%
Yabloko 1.1%
$55,398 Wol.
$55,398 Wol.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia (ER)
$2,480 Wol.
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$9,033 Wol.
15%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$2,709 Wol.
1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$18,117 Wol.
33%
New People (NL)
$9,492 Wol.
43%
Rodina
$2,524 Wol.
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$1,818 Wol.
<1%
Yabloko
$9,224 Wol.
1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.New People leads trader expectations for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections at 42.5 percent implied probability, ahead of the LDPR at 33 percent and the KPRF at 15 percent, reflecting recent polling volatility among the main systemic opposition parties. Multiple August surveys place these three parties within a narrow band of roughly 8-13 percent support each, behind the dominant United Russia, with New People occasionally edging ahead in VTsIOM readings due to its appeal among younger and regional voters while the LDPR draws on established nationalist networks and the KPRF on its longstanding communist base. The contest remains tight because of comparable organizational reach, limited differentiation on core foreign-policy lines, and the absence of major disruptive events in the final weeks before voting. Scheduled campaign activity and any late shifts in turnout or administrative preferences could still reorder the finish among these contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Wolumen
$55,398Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.New People leads trader expectations for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections at 42.5 percent implied probability, ahead of the LDPR at 33 percent and the KPRF at 15 percent, reflecting recent polling volatility among the main systemic opposition parties. Multiple August surveys place these three parties within a narrow band of roughly 8-13 percent support each, behind the dominant United Russia, with New People occasionally edging ahead in VTsIOM readings due to its appeal among younger and regional voters while the LDPR draws on established nationalist networks and the KPRF on its longstanding communist base. The contest remains tight because of comparable organizational reach, limited differentiation on core foreign-policy lines, and the absence of major disruptive events in the final weeks before voting. Scheduled campaign activity and any late shifts in turnout or administrative preferences could still reorder the finish among these contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Wolumen
$55,398Data zakończenia
Sep 20, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...New People leads trader expectations for third place in Russia's September 2026 State Duma elections at 42.5 percent implied probability, ahead of the LDPR at 33 percent and the KPRF at 15 percent, reflecting recent polling volatility among the main systemic opposition parties. Multiple August surveys place these three parties within a narrow band of roughly 8-13 percent support each, behind the dominant United Russia, with New People occasionally edging ahead in VTsIOM readings due to its appeal among younger and regional voters while the LDPR draws on established nationalist networks and the KPRF on its longstanding communist base. The contest remains tight because of comparable organizational reach, limited differentiation on core foreign-policy lines, and the absence of major disruptive events in the final weeks before voting. Scheduled campaign activity and any late shifts in turnout or administrative preferences could still reorder the finish among these contenders.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPowiązane
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