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Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?

icon for Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?
Wybory·Wybory W USA

Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?

Mary Peltola 91.3%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 8.4%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,847 Wol.

Mary Peltola 91.3%

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan 8.4%

David Leslie <1%

Shirley Saucerman <1%

Polymarket

$44,847 Wol.

icon for Mary Peltola

Mary Peltola

$17,655 Wol.

91%

icon for Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

Sen. Dan S. Sullivan

$10,816 Wol.

8%

icon for David Leslie

David Leslie

$3,015 Wol.

<1%

Shirley Saucerman

$2,435 Wol.

<1%

icon for Richard Grayson

Richard Grayson

$1,045 Wol.

<1%

Richard Benedict Mayers

$947 Wol.

<1%

Earl D. "Skip" Southworth

$969 Wol.

<1%

icon for Dustin Darden

Dustin Darden

$705 Wol.

<1%

icon for Carol Hafner

Carol Hafner

$752 Wol.

<1%

icon for Gerald L. Heikes

Gerald L. Heikes

$502 Wol.

<1%

icon for Dan J. Sullivan

Dan J. Sullivan

$1,493 Wol.

<1%

Fred C. Grauberger

$1,713 Wol.

<1%

icon for Sid Hill

Sid Hill

$550 Wol.

<1%

icon for Scott Kohlhaas

Scott Kohlhaas

$539 Wol.

<1%

Heather McElwain

$1,077 Wol.

<1%

icon for Reece Roberts

Reece Roberts

$634 Wol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Alaska Senate primary vote winner due to her substantial fundraising edge, with $6.9 million raised compared to incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan’s $2 million since April, combined with recent polling showing her competitive or ahead in the race. Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan primary places all 16 candidates on one ballot, with the top four advancing to the November general election under ranked-choice voting; Peltola’s profile as former U.S. Representative and the highest-visibility challenger has concentrated support among Democratic and independent voters. Minor candidates, including a second Dan Sullivan creating ballot confusion and perennial entrants, register negligible odds, as no late developments have shifted momentum. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to unusually high turnout favoring lesser-known names or unresolved legal disputes over candidate listings, though current evidence points to Peltola securing the plurality.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Wolumen
$44,847
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. Mary Peltola holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Alaska Senate primary vote winner due to her substantial fundraising edge, with $6.9 million raised compared to incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan’s $2 million since April, combined with recent polling showing her competitive or ahead in the race. Alaska’s August 18 nonpartisan primary places all 16 candidates on one ballot, with the top four advancing to the November general election under ranked-choice voting; Peltola’s profile as former U.S. Representative and the highest-visibility challenger has concentrated support among Democratic and independent voters. Minor candidates, including a second Dan Sullivan creating ballot confusion and perennial entrants, register negligible odds, as no late developments have shifted momentum. Scenarios that could alter the outcome remain limited to unusually high turnout favoring lesser-known names or unresolved legal disputes over candidate listings, though current evidence points to Peltola securing the plurality.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Wolumen
$44,847
Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

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Często zadawane pytania

"Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 16 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Mary Peltola" z 91%, za nim "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" z 8%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 91¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 91% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" wygenerował $44.8K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jul 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?", przeglądaj 16 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Vote winner in Alaska Senate primary final round?" jest "Mary Peltola" z 91%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 91% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Sen. Dan S. Sullivan" z 8%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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