The 2026 Texas Senate race remains highly competitive, with recent polling averages showing James Talarico edging Ken Paxton by roughly 1-3 points among likely voters in surveys from Emerson, Texas Pulse, and others. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage and stronger performance among independents and some non-college-educated voters have sustained Democratic momentum since Paxton’s May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Traders price the contest near even because Texas’s partisan lean has not produced the expected Republican cushion in head-to-head matchups, while Paxton’s established profile and base mobilization keep the outcome within a narrow margin. The November election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by further debate performances, turnout patterns in key regions, or late campaign developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTexas Senate Election Winner
Texas Senate Election Winner
$774,781 Wol.
$774,781 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
50%
$774,781 Wol.
$774,781 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
James Talarico (D)
$369,827 Wol.
52%
Ken Paxton (R)
$404,954 Wol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Texas Senate race remains highly competitive, with recent polling averages showing James Talarico edging Ken Paxton by roughly 1-3 points among likely voters in surveys from Emerson, Texas Pulse, and others. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage and stronger performance among independents and some non-college-educated voters have sustained Democratic momentum since Paxton’s May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Traders price the contest near even because Texas’s partisan lean has not produced the expected Republican cushion in head-to-head matchups, while Paxton’s established profile and base mobilization keep the outcome within a narrow margin. The November election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by further debate performances, turnout patterns in key regions, or late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Wolumen
$774,781Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Texas Senate race remains highly competitive, with recent polling averages showing James Talarico edging Ken Paxton by roughly 1-3 points among likely voters in surveys from Emerson, Texas Pulse, and others. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage and stronger performance among independents and some non-college-educated voters have sustained Democratic momentum since Paxton’s May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Traders price the contest near even because Texas’s partisan lean has not produced the expected Republican cushion in head-to-head matchups, while Paxton’s established profile and base mobilization keep the outcome within a narrow margin. The November election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by further debate performances, turnout patterns in key regions, or late campaign developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$774,781Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Texas Senate race remains highly competitive, with recent polling averages showing James Talarico edging Ken Paxton by roughly 1-3 points among likely voters in surveys from Emerson, Texas Pulse, and others. Talarico’s substantial fundraising advantage and stronger performance among independents and some non-college-educated voters have sustained Democratic momentum since Paxton’s May primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Traders price the contest near even because Texas’s partisan lean has not produced the expected Republican cushion in head-to-head matchups, while Paxton’s established profile and base mobilization keep the outcome within a narrow margin. The November election timeline leaves room for shifts driven by further debate performances, turnout patterns in key regions, or late campaign developments.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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