Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's reelection bid in solidly Republican Kansas underpins trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 80%, reflecting the state's R+13 partisan lean, his unopposed path through the August 4 primary barring late challengers before the June 1 filing deadline, and dominant fundraising with $4.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfing the fragmented Democratic field's totals. Recent buzz from Leawood pastor Adam Hamilton's April 30 entry into the nine-way Democratic primary, alongside state Sen. Patrick Schmidt's push, has drawn attention but underscores Democrats' uphill battle in a state without a Senate win since 1932; Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with no credible general election polls yet challenging Marshall's edge. Primaries loom as the next catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoKansas Senate Election Winner
Kansas Senate Election Winner
$27,843 Wol.
$27,843 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
80%
Democrat
17%
$27,843 Wol.
$27,843 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$16,815 Wol.
80%
Democrat
$11,028 Wol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's reelection bid in solidly Republican Kansas underpins trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 80%, reflecting the state's R+13 partisan lean, his unopposed path through the August 4 primary barring late challengers before the June 1 filing deadline, and dominant fundraising with $4.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfing the fragmented Democratic field's totals. Recent buzz from Leawood pastor Adam Hamilton's April 30 entry into the nine-way Democratic primary, alongside state Sen. Patrick Schmidt's push, has drawn attention but underscores Democrats' uphill battle in a state without a Senate win since 1932; Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with no credible general election polls yet challenging Marshall's edge. Primaries loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Rynek otwarty: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$27,843Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's reelection bid in solidly Republican Kansas underpins trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 80%, reflecting the state's R+13 partisan lean, his unopposed path through the August 4 primary barring late challengers before the June 1 filing deadline, and dominant fundraising with $4.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfing the fragmented Democratic field's totals. Recent buzz from Leawood pastor Adam Hamilton's April 30 entry into the nine-way Democratic primary, alongside state Sen. Patrick Schmidt's push, has drawn attention but underscores Democrats' uphill battle in a state without a Senate win since 1932; Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with no credible general election polls yet challenging Marshall's edge. Primaries loom as the next catalyst.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Wolumen
$27,843Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Sen. Roger Marshall's reelection bid in solidly Republican Kansas underpins trader consensus pricing a GOP victory at 80%, reflecting the state's R+13 partisan lean, his unopposed path through the August 4 primary barring late challengers before the June 1 filing deadline, and dominant fundraising with $4.7 million cash-on-hand dwarfing the fragmented Democratic field's totals. Recent buzz from Leawood pastor Adam Hamilton's April 30 entry into the nine-way Democratic primary, alongside state Sen. Patrick Schmidt's push, has drawn attention but underscores Democrats' uphill battle in a state without a Senate win since 1932; Cook Political Report rates it Solid Republican, with no credible general election polls yet challenging Marshall's edge. Primaries loom as the next catalyst.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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