Rafael López Aliaga holds the strongest position in the Lima mayoral race due to his incumbency record as former mayor, consistent polling leads near 30 percent for his Renovación Popular list, and recent Jurado Nacional de Elecciones confirmation of his first-regidor candidacy after earlier eligibility challenges tied to his senator-elect status were resolved. The October 4 election structure favors his list, as the top regidor assumes the mayoralty if the listed alcalde candidate steps aside, a path cleared following Luis Rubio’s withdrawal. Other contenders, including Carlos Bruce, Francis Allison, and Daniel Urresti, trail in surveys and lack comparable momentum or institutional backing in the fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects these structural and survey advantages while noting the short campaign window ahead of voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRafael López Aliaga 82.5%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 8.3%
Francis James Allison Oyague 5%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 3.6%
$135,837 Wol.
$135,837 Wol.
Rafael López Aliaga
82%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
8%
Francis James Allison Oyague
5%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
4%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
1%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
1%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 82.5%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 8.3%
Francis James Allison Oyague 5%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 3.6%
$135,837 Wol.
$135,837 Wol.
Rafael López Aliaga
82%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
8%
Francis James Allison Oyague
5%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
4%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
1%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
1%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
1%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
<1%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
<1%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
<1%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
<1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
<1%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
<1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
<1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
<1%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
<1%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
<1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
<1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Rafael López Aliaga holds the strongest position in the Lima mayoral race due to his incumbency record as former mayor, consistent polling leads near 30 percent for his Renovación Popular list, and recent Jurado Nacional de Elecciones confirmation of his first-regidor candidacy after earlier eligibility challenges tied to his senator-elect status were resolved. The October 4 election structure favors his list, as the top regidor assumes the mayoralty if the listed alcalde candidate steps aside, a path cleared following Luis Rubio’s withdrawal. Other contenders, including Carlos Bruce, Francis Allison, and Daniel Urresti, trail in surveys and lack comparable momentum or institutional backing in the fragmented field. Trader consensus reflects these structural and survey advantages while noting the short campaign window ahead of voting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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