Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 85.5% implied probability as the KMT nominee for the November 28, 2026 Hsinchu County magistrate race, while DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang sits at 14.5%. The KMT secured her nomination in March 2026 after she prevailed in the party primary against deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien amid internal disputes over selection rules. KMT has controlled the county government since 2001, providing structural advantages in local voter networks and turnout. Cheng Chao-fang received DPP nomination in June 2026 as Zhubei mayor, yet faces a steep path in a county with sustained opposition strength. Trader consensus reflects these partisan alignments, incumbency patterns, and limited late-stage disruptions ahead of candidate registration and the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHsu Hsin-ying 86%
Cheng Chao-fang 14%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Hsu Hsin-ying
86%
Cheng Chao-fang
14%
Lin Szu-ming
1%
Chen Chien-hsien
1%
Hsu Hsin-ying 86%
Cheng Chao-fang 14%
Lin Szu-ming <1%
Chen Chien-hsien <1%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 30, 2027
Hsu Hsin-ying
$1,519 Wol.
86%
Cheng Chao-fang
$655 Wol.
14%
Lin Szu-ming
$275 Wol.
1%
Chen Chien-hsien
$275 Wol.
1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 85.5% implied probability as the KMT nominee for the November 28, 2026 Hsinchu County magistrate race, while DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang sits at 14.5%. The KMT secured her nomination in March 2026 after she prevailed in the party primary against deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien amid internal disputes over selection rules. KMT has controlled the county government since 2001, providing structural advantages in local voter networks and turnout. Cheng Chao-fang received DPP nomination in June 2026 as Zhubei mayor, yet faces a steep path in a county with sustained opposition strength. Trader consensus reflects these partisan alignments, incumbency patterns, and limited late-stage disruptions ahead of candidate registration and the general election.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ET
Wolumen
$2,725Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 85.5% implied probability as the KMT nominee for the November 28, 2026 Hsinchu County magistrate race, while DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang sits at 14.5%. The KMT secured her nomination in March 2026 after she prevailed in the party primary against deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien amid internal disputes over selection rules. KMT has controlled the county government since 2001, providing structural advantages in local voter networks and turnout. Cheng Chao-fang received DPP nomination in June 2026 as Zhubei mayor, yet faces a steep path in a county with sustained opposition strength. Trader consensus reflects these partisan alignments, incumbency patterns, and limited late-stage disruptions ahead of candidate registration and the general election.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hsinchu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Wolumen
$2,725Data zakończenia
Nov 28, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 14, 2026, 8:53 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hsu Hsin-ying holds an 85.5% implied probability as the KMT nominee for the November 28, 2026 Hsinchu County magistrate race, while DPP nominee Cheng Chao-fang sits at 14.5%. The KMT secured her nomination in March 2026 after she prevailed in the party primary against deputy magistrate Chen Chien-hsien amid internal disputes over selection rules. KMT has controlled the county government since 2001, providing structural advantages in local voter networks and turnout. Cheng Chao-fang received DPP nomination in June 2026 as Zhubei mayor, yet faces a steep path in a county with sustained opposition strength. Trader consensus reflects these partisan alignments, incumbency patterns, and limited late-stage disruptions ahead of candidate registration and the general election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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