Lai Jui-lung holds a commanding position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee ahead of Taiwan's November 28, 2026 local elections. He secured the DPP nomination in January after prevailing in a primary poll against Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. The Kuomintang nominated Legislator Ko Chih-en in December 2025, yet multiple surveys through mid-2026 show Lai ahead by double-digit margins across districts and demographics. Recent campaign activity, including stumping by President William Lai, has reinforced the DPP's organizational edge in the city. Traders price in Lai's lead as the dominant factor while assigning lower probabilities to Ko and minor candidates, reflecting the absence of major shifts in polling or candidate positioning since the nominations were finalized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLai Jui-lung 84%
Ko Chih-en 13.0%
Chiu Yi-ying 5.7%
Hsu Chih-chieh 4.8%

Lai Jui-lung
84%

Ko Chih-en
13%

Chiu Yi-ying
6%

Hsu Chih-chieh
5%

Lin Tai-hua
2%

Chang Ching
1%
Lai Jui-lung 84%
Ko Chih-en 13.0%
Chiu Yi-ying 5.7%
Hsu Chih-chieh 4.8%

Lai Jui-lung
84%

Ko Chih-en
13%

Chiu Yi-ying
6%

Hsu Chih-chieh
5%

Lin Tai-hua
2%

Chang Ching
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Lai Jui-lung holds a commanding position in the Kaohsiung mayoral race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee ahead of Taiwan's November 28, 2026 local elections. He secured the DPP nomination in January after prevailing in a primary poll against Chiu Yi-ying, Hsu Chih-chieh, and Lin Tai-hua. The Kuomintang nominated Legislator Ko Chih-en in December 2025, yet multiple surveys through mid-2026 show Lai ahead by double-digit margins across districts and demographics. Recent campaign activity, including stumping by President William Lai, has reinforced the DPP's organizational edge in the city. Traders price in Lai's lead as the dominant factor while assigning lower probabilities to Ko and minor candidates, reflecting the absence of major shifts in polling or candidate positioning since the nominations were finalized.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania