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Polityka·Argentyna

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Polityka·Argentyna

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 49%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$67,666 Wol.

Javier Milei 49%

Axel Kicillof 33%

Dante Gebel 5.1%

Sergio Massa 3.3%

Polymarket

$67,666 Wol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$27,654 Wol.

49%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$4,486 Wol.

33%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$5,026 Wol.

5%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$3,470 Wol.

3%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$4,964 Wol.

3%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$3,929 Wol.

3%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$5,198 Wol.

2%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$3,305 Wol.

1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$3,813 Wol.

1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$3,178 Wol.

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$2,643 Wol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Recent economic pressures, including rising unemployment and uneven recovery following austerity measures, have weighed on President Javier Milei's approval ratings ahead of the October 2027 contest. Traders assign him the highest probability due to his incumbency, 2025 midterm gains that expanded congressional support for reforms, and success in reducing inflation from over 200 percent. Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof ranks second as Peronism reorganizes around him amid internal talks, capitalizing on public frustration with short-term hardships and recent corruption allegations tied to cryptocurrency promotions. Other candidates trail because fragmented opposition and limited national name recognition limit their immediate viability in current polling trends.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Wolumen
$67,666
Data zakończenia
Oct 24, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Recent economic pressures, including rising unemployment and uneven recovery following austerity measures, have weighed on President Javier Milei's approval ratings ahead of the October 2027 contest. Traders assign him the highest probability due to his incumbency, 2025 midterm gains that expanded congressional support for reforms, and success in reducing inflation from over 200 percent. Buenos Aires Governor Axel Kicillof ranks second as Peronism reorganizes around him amid internal talks, capitalizing on public frustration with short-term hardships and recent corruption allegations tied to cryptocurrency promotions. Other candidates trail because fragmented opposition and limited national name recognition limit their immediate viability in current polling trends.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Wolumen
$67,666
Data zakończenia
Oct 24, 2027
Rynek otwarty
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Argentina Presidential Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 11 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Javier Milei" z 49%, za nim "Axel Kicillof" z 33%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 49¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 49% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" wygenerował $67.7K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku May 1, 2026. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Argentina Presidential Election Winner", przeglądaj 11 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" jest "Javier Milei" z 49%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 49% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Axel Kicillof" z 33%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.