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Polityka·Afryka

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

icon for Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Polityka·Afryka

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 69%

Peter Obi 24%

Omoyele Sowore <1%

Rabiu Kwankwaso <1%

Polymarket

$128,246 Wol.

Bola Tinubu 69%

Peter Obi 24%

Omoyele Sowore <1%

Rabiu Kwankwaso <1%

Polymarket

$128,246 Wol.

icon for Bola Tinubu

Bola Tinubu

$80,733 Wol.

69%

icon for Peter Obi

Peter Obi

$25,041 Wol.

24%

icon for Omoyele Sowore

Omoyele Sowore

$8,411 Wol.

1%

icon for Rabiu Kwankwaso

Rabiu Kwankwaso

$6,617 Wol.

<1%

icon for Rotimi Amaechi

Rotimi Amaechi

$7,445 Wol.

<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu leads the market at 68.5% implied probability as the incumbent APC nominee, benefiting from party consolidation across most states, control of the National Assembly, and an early campaign structure ahead of the January 16, 2027 vote. The opposition remains split, with Peter Obi on the NDC ticket paired with Rabiu Kwankwaso at 24%, Atiku Abubakar on the ADC alongside Rotimi Amaechi, and additional candidates including Omoyele Sowore listed by INEC in its final September 12 roster of 18 contenders. Recent national surveys show Tinubu ahead in some aggregates due to vote fragmentation, while others highlight stronger opposition favorability amid economic pressures, yet no unified coalition has formed. Trader consensus prices these structural factors over polling volatility in the fragmented field.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Wolumen
$128,246
Data zakończenia
Jan 16, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Bola Tinubu leads the market at 68.5% implied probability as the incumbent APC nominee, benefiting from party consolidation across most states, control of the National Assembly, and an early campaign structure ahead of the January 16, 2027 vote. The opposition remains split, with Peter Obi on the NDC ticket paired with Rabiu Kwankwaso at 24%, Atiku Abubakar on the ADC alongside Rotimi Amaechi, and additional candidates including Omoyele Sowore listed by INEC in its final September 12 roster of 18 contenders. Recent national surveys show Tinubu ahead in some aggregates due to vote fragmentation, while others highlight stronger opposition favorability amid economic pressures, yet no unified coalition has formed. Trader consensus prices these structural factors over polling volatility in the fragmented field.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Wolumen
$128,246
Data zakończenia
Jan 16, 2027
Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Rozstrzygający

0x69c47De9D...

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Często zadawane pytania

"Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 5 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Bola Tinubu" z 69%, za nim "Peter Obi" z 24%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 69¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

Na dzień dzisiejszy "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" wygenerował $128.2K łącznego wolumenu od uruchomienia rynku Jan 16, 2027. Ten poziom aktywności handlowej odzwierciedla silne zaangażowanie społeczności Polymarket i pomaga zapewnić, że bieżące kursy są informowane przez głęboką pulę uczestników rynku. Możesz śledzić ruchy cen na żywo i handlować na dowolny wynik bezpośrednio na tej stronie.

Aby handlować na "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner", przeglądaj 5 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" jest "Bola Tinubu" z 69%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 69% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Peter Obi" z 24%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.