Bola Tinubu leads the market at 68.5% implied probability as the incumbent APC nominee, benefiting from party consolidation across most states, control of the National Assembly, and an early campaign structure ahead of the January 16, 2027 vote. The opposition remains split, with Peter Obi on the NDC ticket paired with Rabiu Kwankwaso at 24%, Atiku Abubakar on the ADC alongside Rotimi Amaechi, and additional candidates including Omoyele Sowore listed by INEC in its final September 12 roster of 18 contenders. Recent national surveys show Tinubu ahead in some aggregates due to vote fragmentation, while others highlight stronger opposition favorability amid economic pressures, yet no unified coalition has formed. Trader consensus prices these structural factors over polling volatility in the fragmented field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBola Tinubu 69%
Peter Obi 24%
Omoyele Sowore <1%
Rabiu Kwankwaso <1%
$128,246 Wol.
$128,246 Wol.

Bola Tinubu
69%

Peter Obi
24%

Omoyele Sowore
1%

Rabiu Kwankwaso
<1%

Rotimi Amaechi
<1%
Bola Tinubu 69%
Peter Obi 24%
Omoyele Sowore <1%
Rabiu Kwankwaso <1%
$128,246 Wol.
$128,246 Wol.

Bola Tinubu
69%

Peter Obi
24%

Omoyele Sowore
1%

Rabiu Kwankwaso
<1%

Rotimi Amaechi
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Bola Tinubu leads the market at 68.5% implied probability as the incumbent APC nominee, benefiting from party consolidation across most states, control of the National Assembly, and an early campaign structure ahead of the January 16, 2027 vote. The opposition remains split, with Peter Obi on the NDC ticket paired with Rabiu Kwankwaso at 24%, Atiku Abubakar on the ADC alongside Rotimi Amaechi, and additional candidates including Omoyele Sowore listed by INEC in its final September 12 roster of 18 contenders. Recent national surveys show Tinubu ahead in some aggregates due to vote fragmentation, while others highlight stronger opposition favorability amid economic pressures, yet no unified coalition has formed. Trader consensus prices these structural factors over polling volatility in the fragmented field.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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