São Tomé and Príncipe’s July 19, 2026 presidential election features a fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova running independently, ADI’s Nito Abreu, MLSTP-linked Elsa Pinto, independent former prime minister Jorge Bom Jesus, and Nino Monteiro backed by Movimento Independente dos Cidadãos/Partido Socialista. Internal party tensions—such as ADI’s decision to bypass Vila Nova and MLSTP divisions—have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support ahead of the first-round vote. Recent developments include MLSTP’s reported backing of Vila Nova and signals that Bom Jesus may withdraw, yet the absence of consolidated coalitions or decisive polling keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. A potential August runoff and last-minute endorsements or campaign momentum could separate frontrunners in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCarlos Vila Nova 47%
Nito Abreu 44%
Jorge Bom Jesus 44%
Nino Monteiro 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 19, 2026
Carlos Vila Nova
47%
Nito Abreu
44%
Jorge Bom Jesus
44%
Nino Monteiro
8%
Elsa Pinto
9%
Carlos Vila Nova 47%
Nito Abreu 44%
Jorge Bom Jesus 44%
Nino Monteiro 8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jul 19, 2026
Carlos Vila Nova
$13 Wol.
47%
Nito Abreu
$13 Wol.
44%
Jorge Bom Jesus
$293 Wol.
44%
Nino Monteiro
$34 Wol.
8%
Elsa Pinto
$710 Wol.
9%
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.São Tomé and Príncipe’s July 19, 2026 presidential election features a fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova running independently, ADI’s Nito Abreu, MLSTP-linked Elsa Pinto, independent former prime minister Jorge Bom Jesus, and Nino Monteiro backed by Movimento Independente dos Cidadãos/Partido Socialista. Internal party tensions—such as ADI’s decision to bypass Vila Nova and MLSTP divisions—have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support ahead of the first-round vote. Recent developments include MLSTP’s reported backing of Vila Nova and signals that Bom Jesus may withdraw, yet the absence of consolidated coalitions or decisive polling keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. A potential August runoff and last-minute endorsements or campaign momentum could separate frontrunners in the final weeks.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 23, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
Wolumen
$901Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.São Tomé and Príncipe’s July 19, 2026 presidential election features a fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova running independently, ADI’s Nito Abreu, MLSTP-linked Elsa Pinto, independent former prime minister Jorge Bom Jesus, and Nino Monteiro backed by Movimento Independente dos Cidadãos/Partido Socialista. Internal party tensions—such as ADI’s decision to bypass Vila Nova and MLSTP divisions—have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support ahead of the first-round vote. Recent developments include MLSTP’s reported backing of Vila Nova and signals that Bom Jesus may withdraw, yet the absence of consolidated coalitions or decisive polling keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. A potential August runoff and last-minute endorsements or campaign momentum could separate frontrunners in the final weeks.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Wolumen
$901Data zakończenia
Jul 19, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 23, 2026, 9:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...São Tomé and Príncipe’s July 19, 2026 presidential election features a fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova running independently, ADI’s Nito Abreu, MLSTP-linked Elsa Pinto, independent former prime minister Jorge Bom Jesus, and Nino Monteiro backed by Movimento Independente dos Cidadãos/Partido Socialista. Internal party tensions—such as ADI’s decision to bypass Vila Nova and MLSTP divisions—have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support ahead of the first-round vote. Recent developments include MLSTP’s reported backing of Vila Nova and signals that Bom Jesus may withdraw, yet the absence of consolidated coalitions or decisive polling keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. A potential August runoff and last-minute endorsements or campaign momentum could separate frontrunners in the final weeks.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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