**The NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23 features a tight contest among Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, alongside Jack Schlossberg and George Conway, with recent Emerson and other polls showing Lasher and Bores within a few points amid 30%+ undecided voters.** High name recognition for Schlossberg (Kennedy family) and Conway has not translated into consistent polling leads, while Lasher and Bores benefit from state legislative records and targeted endorsements. A June 9 debate and focus on older voters (a key bloc with 20% still undecided per AARP/Siena) have kept the race fluid. Prediction markets price the closest margins—Lasher under 5% or 5–10%, or Bores under 5%—as leading outcomes, reflecting the even polling and late-deciding electorate that could produce a narrow result or shift depending on turnout and final voter movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLasher <5% 28%
Lasher 5–10% 27%
Bores <5% 25%
Lasher 10–15% 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 24, 2026
Lasher 15%+
5%
Lasher 10–15%
13%
Lasher 5–10%
27%
Lasher <5%
28%
Bores 5%+
5%
Bores <5%
25%
Schlossberg Wins
7%
Lasher <5% 28%
Lasher 5–10% 27%
Bores <5% 25%
Lasher 10–15% 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 24, 2026
Lasher 15%+
$74 Wol.
5%
Lasher 10–15%
$65 Wol.
13%
Lasher 5–10%
$140 Wol.
27%
Lasher <5%
$102 Wol.
28%
Bores 5%+
$88 Wol.
5%
Bores <5%
$61 Wol.
25%
Schlossberg Wins
$104 Wol.
7%
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
**The NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23 features a tight contest among Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, alongside Jack Schlossberg and George Conway, with recent Emerson and other polls showing Lasher and Bores within a few points amid 30%+ undecided voters.**
High name recognition for Schlossberg (Kennedy family) and Conway has not translated into consistent polling leads, while Lasher and Bores benefit from state legislative records and targeted endorsements. A June 9 debate and focus on older voters (a key bloc with 20% still undecided per AARP/Siena) have kept the race fluid. Prediction markets price the closest margins—Lasher under 5% or 5–10%, or Bores under 5%—as leading outcomes, reflecting the even polling and late-deciding electorate that could produce a narrow result or shift depending on turnout and final voter movement.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$633Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
**The NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23 features a tight contest among Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, alongside Jack Schlossberg and George Conway, with recent Emerson and other polls showing Lasher and Bores within a few points amid 30%+ undecided voters.**
High name recognition for Schlossberg (Kennedy family) and Conway has not translated into consistent polling leads, while Lasher and Bores benefit from state legislative records and targeted endorsements. A June 9 debate and focus on older voters (a key bloc with 20% still undecided per AARP/Siena) have kept the race fluid. Prediction markets price the closest margins—Lasher under 5% or 5–10%, or Bores under 5%—as leading outcomes, reflecting the even polling and late-deciding electorate that could produce a narrow result or shift depending on turnout and final voter movement.
Primary elections in New York are scheduled to be held on June 23, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the NY-12 Democratic Primary.
The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of New York, such as official statewide results published by the New York State Board of Elections (https://elections.ny.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$633Data zakończenia
Jun 24, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 15, 2026, 2:29 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**The NY-12 Democratic primary on June 23 features a tight contest among Assembly members Micah Lasher and Alex Bores, alongside Jack Schlossberg and George Conway, with recent Emerson and other polls showing Lasher and Bores within a few points amid 30%+ undecided voters.** High name recognition for Schlossberg (Kennedy family) and Conway has not translated into consistent polling leads, while Lasher and Bores benefit from state legislative records and targeted endorsements. A June 9 debate and focus on older voters (a key bloc with 20% still undecided per AARP/Siena) have kept the race fluid. Prediction markets price the closest margins—Lasher under 5% or 5–10%, or Bores under 5%—as leading outcomes, reflecting the even polling and late-deciding electorate that could produce a narrow result or shift depending on turnout and final voter movement.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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