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Polityka·Prawybory

South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory

icon for South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory
Polityka·Prawybory

South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory

Graham Nordone <5% 19%

Norman <5% 19%

Graham Nordone 5–10% 15%

Graham Nordone 10–15% 13%

Polymarket
NOWE

Graham Nordone <5% 19%

Norman <5% 19%

Graham Nordone 5–10% 15%

Graham Nordone 10–15% 13%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Graham Nordone 20%+

Graham Nordone 20%+

$203 Wol.

7%

icon for Graham Nordone 15–20%

Graham Nordone 15–20%

$50 Wol.

19%

icon for Graham Nordone 10–15%

Graham Nordone 10–15%

$525 Wol.

13%

icon for Graham Nordone 5–10%

Graham Nordone 5–10%

$701 Wol.

15%

icon for Graham Nordone <5%

Graham Nordone <5%

$0 Wol.

19%

icon for Norman <5%

Norman <5%

$287 Wol.

19%

icon for Norman 5%+

Norman 5%+

$417 Wol.

12%

icon for Fry <5%

Fry <5%

$346 Wol.

6%

icon for Fry 5%+

Fry 5%+

$140 Wol.

9%

icon for Sanford wins

Sanford wins

$73 Wol.

4%

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling shows a fragmented Republican field for the August 11 special primary, with Ralph Norman at 22 percent, Darline Graham Nordone at 19 percent, Russell Fry at 12 percent, and Mark Sanford at 11 percent. Trump's endorsement of Nordone and Norman's House endorsements and conservative base have kept the top contenders within a few points, while Fry and Sanford draw regional support. The crowded ballot and lack of a dominant frontrunner make a majority unlikely, favoring small victory margins or an "other" outcome in the first round. Early voting and recent debates have reinforced this competitive dynamic ahead of potential runoff on August 25.

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$2,741
Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Recent polling shows a fragmented Republican field for the August 11 special primary, with Ralph Norman at 22 percent, Darline Graham Nordone at 19 percent, Russell Fry at 12 percent, and Mark Sanford at 11 percent. Trump's endorsement of Nordone and Norman's House endorsements and conservative base have kept the top contenders within a few points, while Fry and Sanford draw regional support. The crowded ballot and lack of a dominant frontrunner make a majority unlikely, favoring small victory margins or an "other" outcome in the first round. Early voting and recent debates have reinforced this competitive dynamic ahead of potential runoff on August 25.

The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary.

The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Wolumen
$2,741
Data zakończenia
Aug 11, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 7, 2026, 4:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The special primary election for the US Senate election in South Carolina is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary. The “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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Często zadawane pytania

"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 10 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Graham Nordone <5%" z 20%, za nim "Graham Nordone 15–20%" z 19%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 20¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 20% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 7, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

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Obecnym faworytem dla "South Carolina Special Senate Republican Primary: First Round Margin of Victory" jest "Graham Nordone <5%" z 20%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 20% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Graham Nordone 15–20%" z 19%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

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