Daniel Vilela, the MDB incumbent who assumed the Goiás governorship in March 2026 after Ronaldo Caiado resigned to pursue the presidency, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polling, including July 2026 surveys from Quaest and others, shows Vilela leading first-round intentions by double digits against declared opponents such as Marconi Perillo of the PSDB-Cidadania federation. His continuity with the prior administration’s coalition and policy agenda underpins trader consensus at 96.7 percent. Limited organized opposition and the absence of major scandals or legal setbacks reinforce this margin. A credible late surge by Perillo or another challenger, a shift in key municipal alliances, or unexpected economic or judicial developments before the first round could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoDaniel Vilela 96.7%
Marconi Perillo 2.1%
Wilder Morais <1%
Adriana Accorsi <1%
$28,414 Wol.
$28,414 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Daniel Vilela
97%
Marconi Perillo
2%
Wilder Morais
1%
Adriana Accorsi
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
<1%
Daniel Vilela 96.7%
Marconi Perillo 2.1%
Wilder Morais <1%
Adriana Accorsi <1%
$28,414 Wol.
$28,414 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Daniel Vilela
$25,095 Wol.
97%
Marconi Perillo
$747 Wol.
2%
Wilder Morais
$878 Wol.
1%
Adriana Accorsi
$823 Wol.
1%
Vanderlan Cardoso
$871 Wol.
<1%
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela, the MDB incumbent who assumed the Goiás governorship in March 2026 after Ronaldo Caiado resigned to pursue the presidency, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polling, including July 2026 surveys from Quaest and others, shows Vilela leading first-round intentions by double digits against declared opponents such as Marconi Perillo of the PSDB-Cidadania federation. His continuity with the prior administration’s coalition and policy agenda underpins trader consensus at 96.7 percent. Limited organized opposition and the absence of major scandals or legal setbacks reinforce this margin. A credible late surge by Perillo or another challenger, a shift in key municipal alliances, or unexpected economic or judicial developments before the first round could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET
Wolumen
$28,414Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Daniel Vilela, the MDB incumbent who assumed the Goiás governorship in March 2026 after Ronaldo Caiado resigned to pursue the presidency, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polling, including July 2026 surveys from Quaest and others, shows Vilela leading first-round intentions by double digits against declared opponents such as Marconi Perillo of the PSDB-Cidadania federation. His continuity with the prior administration’s coalition and policy agenda underpins trader consensus at 96.7 percent. Limited organized opposition and the absence of major scandals or legal setbacks reinforce this margin. A credible late surge by Perillo or another challenger, a shift in key municipal alliances, or unexpected economic or judicial developments before the first round could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
The Goiás gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$28,414Data zakończenia
Oct 4, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Daniel Vilela, the MDB incumbent who assumed the Goiás governorship in March 2026 after Ronaldo Caiado resigned to pursue the presidency, holds a commanding position in the October 4, 2026, election. Recent polling, including July 2026 surveys from Quaest and others, shows Vilela leading first-round intentions by double digits against declared opponents such as Marconi Perillo of the PSDB-Cidadania federation. His continuity with the prior administration’s coalition and policy agenda underpins trader consensus at 96.7 percent. Limited organized opposition and the absence of major scandals or legal setbacks reinforce this margin. A credible late surge by Perillo or another challenger, a shift in key municipal alliances, or unexpected economic or judicial developments before the first round could narrow the gap, though no such catalysts have emerged in the past month.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania