Ricardo Ferraço holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to his status as incumbent governor, a role he assumed in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from July and August consistently shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios with 37-41% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini at 25-30%, supported by 76% government approval ratings. His MDB-led coalition and focus on fiscal continuity and public security have reinforced this edge ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff. Other registered candidates, including Helder Salomão, Breno Barcelos, and Rafael Demuner, register minimal support in surveys, aligning with their lower market pricing. The first-round vote threshold and runoff mechanics remain key variables that could influence final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRicardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 33%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 Wol.
$40,175 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
33%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 33%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 Wol.
$40,175 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,350 Wol.
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$13,943 Wol.
33%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Wol.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 Wol.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Wol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to his status as incumbent governor, a role he assumed in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from July and August consistently shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios with 37-41% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini at 25-30%, supported by 76% government approval ratings. His MDB-led coalition and focus on fiscal continuity and public security have reinforced this edge ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff. Other registered candidates, including Helder Salomão, Breno Barcelos, and Rafael Demuner, register minimal support in surveys, aligning with their lower market pricing. The first-round vote threshold and runoff mechanics remain key variables that could influence final resolution.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,175Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to his status as incumbent governor, a role he assumed in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from July and August consistently shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios with 37-41% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini at 25-30%, supported by 76% government approval ratings. His MDB-led coalition and focus on fiscal continuity and public security have reinforced this edge ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff. Other registered candidates, including Helder Salomão, Breno Barcelos, and Rafael Demuner, register minimal support in surveys, aligning with their lower market pricing. The first-round vote threshold and runoff mechanics remain key variables that could influence final resolution.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$40,175Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço holds the leading position in trader consensus for the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race due to his status as incumbent governor, a role he assumed in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation to pursue a Senate seat. Recent polling from July and August consistently shows Ferraço ahead in first-round scenarios with 37-41% support, ahead of main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini at 25-30%, supported by 76% government approval ratings. His MDB-led coalition and focus on fiscal continuity and public security have reinforced this edge ahead of the October 4 first round and potential October 25 runoff. Other registered candidates, including Helder Salomão, Breno Barcelos, and Rafael Demuner, register minimal support in surveys, aligning with their lower market pricing. The first-round vote threshold and runoff mechanics remain key variables that could influence final resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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