Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, leads the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader consensus at 63.5%. Recent polling from late August and early September shows Ferraço ahead or tied within margins of error against main rival Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), with the incumbent typically at 35–43% and Pazolini at 28–39%. Ferraço benefits from incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PP, and others, and approval ratings near 70% tied to fiscal management and homicide reductions. He has emphasized hiring thousands of police officers ahead of the October 4 first round. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, trails at 32.5% amid a competitive but narrowing field that includes Helder Salomão (PT) and minor candidates polling in single digits.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoRicardo Ferraço 64%
Lorenzo Pazolini 33%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,321 Wol.
$40,321 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
64%
Lorenzo Pazolini
33%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 64%
Lorenzo Pazolini 33%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,321 Wol.
$40,321 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,496 Wol.
64%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$13,943 Wol.
33%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Wol.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 Wol.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Wol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, leads the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader consensus at 63.5%. Recent polling from late August and early September shows Ferraço ahead or tied within margins of error against main rival Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), with the incumbent typically at 35–43% and Pazolini at 28–39%. Ferraço benefits from incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PP, and others, and approval ratings near 70% tied to fiscal management and homicide reductions. He has emphasized hiring thousands of police officers ahead of the October 4 first round. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, trails at 32.5% amid a competitive but narrowing field that includes Helder Salomão (PT) and minor candidates polling in single digits.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Wolumen
$40,321Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, leads the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader consensus at 63.5%. Recent polling from late August and early September shows Ferraço ahead or tied within margins of error against main rival Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), with the incumbent typically at 35–43% and Pazolini at 28–39%. Ferraço benefits from incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PP, and others, and approval ratings near 70% tied to fiscal management and homicide reductions. He has emphasized hiring thousands of police officers ahead of the October 4 first round. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, trails at 32.5% amid a competitive but narrowing field that includes Helder Salomão (PT) and minor candidates polling in single digits.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$40,321Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 following Renato Casagrande’s resignation, leads the Espírito Santo gubernatorial race with trader consensus at 63.5%. Recent polling from late August and early September shows Ferraço ahead or tied within margins of error against main rival Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), with the incumbent typically at 35–43% and Pazolini at 28–39%. Ferraço benefits from incumbency, a broad coalition including MDB, PP, and others, and approval ratings near 70% tied to fiscal management and homicide reductions. He has emphasized hiring thousands of police officers ahead of the October 4 first round. Pazolini, the former Vitória mayor, trails at 32.5% amid a competitive but narrowing field that includes Helder Salomão (PT) and minor candidates polling in single digits.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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