Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds authority to nominate Supreme Court (STF) ministers, subject to Senate confirmation. After the Senate rejected his April 2026 nominee Jorge Messias—the first such defeat in over 130 years—Lula publicly signaled plans to forward a new name promptly rather than defer the choice to his successor following the October 2026 election. Allies report he intends to select a female candidate to strengthen political support for confirmation. The vacancy stems from a prior justice’s departure, and Senate rules require a majority vote after committee review, creating procedural windows before year-end. No subsequent nomination has been announced as of early June 2026, leaving timing dependent on Lula’s internal deliberations and Senate dynamics ahead of the presidential transition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$11,701 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
16%
September 30
55%
December 31
77%
$11,701 Wol.
June 30
$7,786 Wol.
16%
September 30
$1,350 Wol.
55%
December 31
$2,565 Wol.
77%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds authority to nominate Supreme Court (STF) ministers, subject to Senate confirmation. After the Senate rejected his April 2026 nominee Jorge Messias—the first such defeat in over 130 years—Lula publicly signaled plans to forward a new name promptly rather than defer the choice to his successor following the October 2026 election. Allies report he intends to select a female candidate to strengthen political support for confirmation. The vacancy stems from a prior justice’s departure, and Senate rules require a majority vote after committee review, creating procedural windows before year-end. No subsequent nomination has been announced as of early June 2026, leaving timing dependent on Lula’s internal deliberations and Senate dynamics ahead of the presidential transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ET
Wolumen
$11,701Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds authority to nominate Supreme Court (STF) ministers, subject to Senate confirmation. After the Senate rejected his April 2026 nominee Jorge Messias—the first such defeat in over 130 years—Lula publicly signaled plans to forward a new name promptly rather than defer the choice to his successor following the October 2026 election. Allies report he intends to select a female candidate to strengthen political support for confirmation. The vacancy stems from a prior justice’s departure, and Senate rules require a majority vote after committee review, creating procedural windows before year-end. No subsequent nomination has been announced as of early June 2026, leaving timing dependent on Lula’s internal deliberations and Senate dynamics ahead of the presidential transition.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Lula) nominates an individual for Minister (Ministro) of the Supreme Federal Court of Brazil (Supremo Tribunal Federal) by the listed date, 11:59 PM Brasilia time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement from Lula or the Office of the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (Presidência da República) stating that Lula has nominated an individual for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurred.
Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee for Minister of the Supreme Federal Court. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, announcements of intention to nominate an individual in the future, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify.
A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be Minister of the Supreme Federal Court will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the President of the Federal Senate (presidente do Senado Federal).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Presidency of the Republic of Brazil (https://www.gov.br/planalto), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$11,701Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 2, 2026, 9:12 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazilian President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva holds authority to nominate Supreme Court (STF) ministers, subject to Senate confirmation. After the Senate rejected his April 2026 nominee Jorge Messias—the first such defeat in over 130 years—Lula publicly signaled plans to forward a new name promptly rather than defer the choice to his successor following the October 2026 election. Allies report he intends to select a female candidate to strengthen political support for confirmation. The vacancy stems from a prior justice’s departure, and Senate rules require a majority vote after committee review, creating procedural windows before year-end. No subsequent nomination has been announced as of early June 2026, leaving timing dependent on Lula’s internal deliberations and Senate dynamics ahead of the presidential transition.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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