**Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market prices the 0.0-0.2% band at 32.5% and the 0.3-0.5% interval at 24.8%, reflecting trader consensus on a pronounced slowdown.** Q2 expanded 0.5% QoQ—above the 0.4% consensus—but household consumption contracted 0.4% while services growth eased to 0.2%, offset by strength in agriculture (+2.8%) and extractives (+3.4%). High Selic rates near 14%, elevated household debt, and cooling labor-market momentum (unemployment at 5.3% but job creation flattening) are weighing on domestic demand. Recent Focus surveys revised 2026 full-year growth down to 1.89%, with nowcasts pointing to near-zero Q3 expansion. Key swing factors include September-October inflation prints, the Copom's September decision path, and any fiscal support ahead of the presidential election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
0.0% to 0.2% 33%
0.3% to 0.5% 23.9%
-0.3% to -0.1% 18%
<-0.3% 4.5%
$12,850 Wol.
$12,850 Wol.
Dec 1, 2026
<-0.3%
5%
-0.3% to -0.1%
18%
0.0% to 0.2%
33%
0.3% to 0.5%
24%
0.6% to 0.8%
5%
0.9% to 1.1%
4%
≥1.2%
<1%
0.0% to 0.2% 33%
0.3% to 0.5% 23.9%
-0.3% to -0.1% 18%
<-0.3% 4.5%
$12,850 Wol.
$12,850 Wol.
Dec 1, 2026
<-0.3%
$225 Wol.
5%
-0.3% to -0.1%
$2,248 Wol.
18%
0.0% to 0.2%
$7,807 Wol.
33%
0.3% to 0.5%
$1,920 Wol.
24%
0.6% to 0.8%
$214 Wol.
5%
0.9% to 1.1%
$235 Wol.
4%
≥1.2%
$202 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html**Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market prices the 0.0-0.2% band at 32.5% and the 0.3-0.5% interval at 24.8%, reflecting trader consensus on a pronounced slowdown.** Q2 expanded 0.5% QoQ—above the 0.4% consensus—but household consumption contracted 0.4% while services growth eased to 0.2%, offset by strength in agriculture (+2.8%) and extractives (+3.4%). High Selic rates near 14%, elevated household debt, and cooling labor-market momentum (unemployment at 5.3% but job creation flattening) are weighing on domestic demand. Recent Focus surveys revised 2026 full-year growth down to 1.89%, with nowcasts pointing to near-zero Q3 expansion. Key swing factors include September-October inflation prints, the Copom's September decision path, and any fiscal support ahead of the presidential election.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Rynek otwarty: Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,850Data zakończenia
Dec 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html**Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market prices the 0.0-0.2% band at 32.5% and the 0.3-0.5% interval at 24.8%, reflecting trader consensus on a pronounced slowdown.** Q2 expanded 0.5% QoQ—above the 0.4% consensus—but household consumption contracted 0.4% while services growth eased to 0.2%, offset by strength in agriculture (+2.8%) and extractives (+3.4%). High Selic rates near 14%, elevated household debt, and cooling labor-market momentum (unemployment at 5.3% but job creation flattening) are weighing on domestic demand. Recent Focus surveys revised 2026 full-year growth down to 1.89%, with nowcasts pointing to near-zero Q3 expansion. Key swing factors include September-October inflation prints, the Copom's September decision path, and any fiscal support ahead of the presidential election.
This market will resolve according to Brazil’s gross domestic product growth rate compared to the prior quarter (GDP at market prices, %) in the 3rd quarter of 2026, as reported by the Instituto Brasileiro de Geografia e Estatística’s (IBGE) System of Quarterly National Accounts release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on December 2, 2026.
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
The GDP release and relevant statistics will be made available here: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/statistics/economic/national-accounts/17262-quarterly-national-accounts.html
If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified quarter’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior quarter. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior quarter to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ibge.gov.br/en/calendar.html
Wolumen
$12,850Data zakończenia
Dec 2, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 8, 2026, 7:35 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth (QoQ) market prices the 0.0-0.2% band at 32.5% and the 0.3-0.5% interval at 24.8%, reflecting trader consensus on a pronounced slowdown.** Q2 expanded 0.5% QoQ—above the 0.4% consensus—but household consumption contracted 0.4% while services growth eased to 0.2%, offset by strength in agriculture (+2.8%) and extractives (+3.4%). High Selic rates near 14%, elevated household debt, and cooling labor-market momentum (unemployment at 5.3% but job creation flattening) are weighing on domestic demand. Recent Focus surveys revised 2026 full-year growth down to 1.89%, with nowcasts pointing to near-zero Q3 expansion. Key swing factors include September-October inflation prints, the Copom's September decision path, and any fiscal support ahead of the presidential election.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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