Recent IMF and OECD assessments have anchored 2026 global GDP growth expectations near 3.0%, reflecting resilience amid the Middle East conflict's energy-price shock offset by AI-driven investment and tech demand. The IMF's July revision to 3.0%—unchanged in its September update—incorporated higher oil costs and trade fragmentation risks, while World Bank projections sit lower at 2.5% due to EMDE weakness. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 3.0% and 3.1% as markets price in uneven regional impacts, sticky inflation near 4.7%, and potential monetary tightening. Key catalysts ahead include the IMF's October forecast update and winter energy-demand data, which could shift implied probabilities if supply disruptions ease or persist.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano2026 World GDP Growth
2026 World GDP Growth
3.1% 33.3%
3.0% 32.8%
≤2.9% 16.6%
3.2% 10.2%
$34,055 Wol.
$34,055 Wol.
Jan 14, 2027
≤2.9%
17%
3.0%
33%
3.1%
28%
3.2%
10%
3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
<1%
3.6%
2%
3.7%+
<1%
3.1% 33.3%
3.0% 32.8%
≤2.9% 16.6%
3.2% 10.2%
$34,055 Wol.
$34,055 Wol.
Jan 14, 2027
≤2.9%
$6,327 Wol.
17%
3.0%
$5,339 Wol.
33%
3.1%
$5,918 Wol.
28%
3.2%
$2,319 Wol.
10%
3.3%
$4,034 Wol.
<1%
3.4%
$4,553 Wol.
<1%
3.5%
$3,589 Wol.
<1%
3.6%
$914 Wol.
2%
3.7%+
$1,061 Wol.
<1%
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent IMF and OECD assessments have anchored 2026 global GDP growth expectations near 3.0%, reflecting resilience amid the Middle East conflict's energy-price shock offset by AI-driven investment and tech demand. The IMF's July revision to 3.0%—unchanged in its September update—incorporated higher oil costs and trade fragmentation risks, while World Bank projections sit lower at 2.5% due to EMDE weakness. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 3.0% and 3.1% as markets price in uneven regional impacts, sticky inflation near 4.7%, and potential monetary tightening. Key catalysts ahead include the IMF's October forecast update and winter energy-demand data, which could shift implied probabilities if supply disruptions ease or persist.
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 23, 2026, 11:18 AM ET
Wolumen
$34,055Data zakończenia
Jan 15, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 11:18 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent IMF and OECD assessments have anchored 2026 global GDP growth expectations near 3.0%, reflecting resilience amid the Middle East conflict's energy-price shock offset by AI-driven investment and tech demand. The IMF's July revision to 3.0%—unchanged in its September update—incorporated higher oil costs and trade fragmentation risks, while World Bank projections sit lower at 2.5% due to EMDE weakness. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 3.0% and 3.1% as markets price in uneven regional impacts, sticky inflation near 4.7%, and potential monetary tightening. Key catalysts ahead include the IMF's October forecast update and winter energy-demand data, which could shift implied probabilities if supply disruptions ease or persist.
This Market will resolve according to the estimate of the World GDP growth rate (Real GDP, annual percent change) reported by the International Monetary Fund in the World Economic Outlook Update released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, expected to be released in January 2027.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The relevant figure may be found in the table titled “World Economic Outlook Growth Projections” under “Estimate” in the row “World Output” and the column “2026”. Changes in the IMF’s World Economic Outlook reporting format will not disqualify a published figure from counting.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.imf.org/en/publications/weo
If no estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in world real GDP is released in a World Economic Outlook Update between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve according to the published figure for 2026 annual percent change in World real GDP in the April 2027 edition of the World Economic Outlook. If no such figure is published by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If multiple World Economic Outlook Updates are released between the October 2026 and April 2027 editions of the World Economic Outlook, this market will resolve based on the first such publication which includes an estimate of the 2026 annual percent change in World GDP. Projections of World GDP, however, will not be considered.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following release or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports annual percent change in world real GDP to one decimal point (e.g. 3.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$34,055Data zakończenia
Jan 15, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 23, 2026, 11:18 AM ETRozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Recent IMF and OECD assessments have anchored 2026 global GDP growth expectations near 3.0%, reflecting resilience amid the Middle East conflict's energy-price shock offset by AI-driven investment and tech demand. The IMF's July revision to 3.0%—unchanged in its September update—incorporated higher oil costs and trade fragmentation risks, while World Bank projections sit lower at 2.5% due to EMDE weakness. Trader consensus clusters tightly between 3.0% and 3.1% as markets price in uneven regional impacts, sticky inflation near 4.7%, and potential monetary tightening. Key catalysts ahead include the IMF's October forecast update and winter energy-demand data, which could shift implied probabilities if supply disruptions ease or persist.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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