Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary framework for federal review of advanced AI models 30 days before release to assess cybersecurity risks, alongside creation of an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse and priorities for protecting critical infrastructure and intellectual property. The measure followed internal debate, an earlier shelved draft with longer review periods, and administration emphasis on maintaining U.S. AI leadership without mandatory licensing or broad mandates. More recently, statements in mid-September 2026 rejected calls to slow development, announced an AI Force and Czar, and reiterated opposition to measures that could stifle innovation or cede ground to competitors. These actions shape trader assessments of whether future steps qualify as restrictions within any specified resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoTrump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?
NOWE
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
3%
October 31
12%
December 31
14%
$1,435 Wol.
September 30
$850 Wol.
3%
October 31
$344 Wol.
12%
December 31
$241 Wol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary framework for federal review of advanced AI models 30 days before release to assess cybersecurity risks, alongside creation of an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse and priorities for protecting critical infrastructure and intellectual property. The measure followed internal debate, an earlier shelved draft with longer review periods, and administration emphasis on maintaining U.S. AI leadership without mandatory licensing or broad mandates. More recently, statements in mid-September 2026 rejected calls to slow development, announced an AI Force and Czar, and reiterated opposition to measures that could stifle innovation or cede ground to competitors. These actions shape trader assessments of whether future steps qualify as restrictions within any specified resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,435Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary framework for federal review of advanced AI models 30 days before release to assess cybersecurity risks, alongside creation of an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse and priorities for protecting critical infrastructure and intellectual property. The measure followed internal debate, an earlier shelved draft with longer review periods, and administration emphasis on maintaining U.S. AI leadership without mandatory licensing or broad mandates. More recently, statements in mid-September 2026 rejected calls to slow development, announced an AI Force and Czar, and reiterated opposition to measures that could stifle innovation or cede ground to competitors. These actions shape trader assessments of whether future steps qualify as restrictions within any specified resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order, proclamation, or presidential memorandum that imposes, or directs a federal agency to impose, a mandatory requirement on the training, development, or deployment of artificial intelligence models by non-governmental developers or deployers, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A mandatory requirement is one AI model developers or deployers must meet as a condition of training, releasing, or operating a model, such as pre-release government review, required safety testing, compute or capability thresholds that trigger obligations, restrictions on training data, limits on autonomous operation, or prohibitions on specified uses. An order that directs an agency to establish such a requirement within a stated period qualifies.
Studies, reports, guidance, standards, or voluntary frameworks do not count. Orders that only govern the federal government's own use or procurement of AI, impose export or chip controls, regulate data-center energy or permitting, address immigration, or regulate only AI-generated content do not qualify.
The signing or issuance of a qualifying order within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of when the order takes effect, and regardless of whether it is subsequently stayed, enjoined, revoked, or superseded.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, including the text of presidential actions published at whitehouse.gov and in the Federal Register; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$1,435Data zakończenia
Jan 1, 2027Rynek otwarty
Sep 17, 2026, 2:28 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x65070BE91...Trump signed Executive Order 14409 on June 2, 2026, establishing a voluntary framework for federal review of advanced AI models 30 days before release to assess cybersecurity risks, alongside creation of an AI cybersecurity clearinghouse and priorities for protecting critical infrastructure and intellectual property. The measure followed internal debate, an earlier shelved draft with longer review periods, and administration emphasis on maintaining U.S. AI leadership without mandatory licensing or broad mandates. More recently, statements in mid-September 2026 rejected calls to slow development, announced an AI Force and Czar, and reiterated opposition to measures that could stifle innovation or cede ground to competitors. These actions shape trader assessments of whether future steps qualify as restrictions within any specified resolution window.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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