Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI readings, driven by elevated energy costs, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59% as of May 15, 2026—its highest level since mid-2025 and up roughly 45 basis points since early March. Persistent inflation pressures above the Fed’s 2% target have kept the policy rate anchored in the 3.50–3.75% range, with incoming Chair Warsh signaling caution and limited near-term easing. Markets now price modest further upside risks from sticky services inflation and fiscal dynamics, while upcoming May CPI, retail sales, and the June FOMC meeting will shape whether yields test 4.75% or higher before year-end 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$214,771 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
4.6%
94%
4.8%
39%
5.0%
26%
5.2%
9%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
6%
6.0%
4%
$214,771 Wol.
4.6%
$37,595 Wol.
94%
4.8%
$47,312 Wol.
39%
5.0%
$49,554 Wol.
26%
5.2%
$9,115 Wol.
9%
5.5%
$1,448 Wol.
7%
5.7%
$3,229 Wol.
6%
6.0%
$2,128 Wol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI readings, driven by elevated energy costs, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59% as of May 15, 2026—its highest level since mid-2025 and up roughly 45 basis points since early March. Persistent inflation pressures above the Fed’s 2% target have kept the policy rate anchored in the 3.50–3.75% range, with incoming Chair Warsh signaling caution and limited near-term easing. Markets now price modest further upside risks from sticky services inflation and fiscal dynamics, while upcoming May CPI, retail sales, and the June FOMC meeting will shape whether yields test 4.75% or higher before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Wolumen
$214,771Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI readings, driven by elevated energy costs, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59% as of May 15, 2026—its highest level since mid-2025 and up roughly 45 basis points since early March. Persistent inflation pressures above the Fed’s 2% target have kept the policy rate anchored in the 3.50–3.75% range, with incoming Chair Warsh signaling caution and limited near-term easing. Markets now price modest further upside risks from sticky services inflation and fiscal dynamics, while upcoming May CPI, retail sales, and the June FOMC meeting will shape whether yields test 4.75% or higher before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Wolumen
$214,771Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent hotter-than-expected April CPI and PPI readings, driven by elevated energy costs, have pushed the 10-year Treasury yield to 4.59% as of May 15, 2026—its highest level since mid-2025 and up roughly 45 basis points since early March. Persistent inflation pressures above the Fed’s 2% target have kept the policy rate anchored in the 3.50–3.75% range, with incoming Chair Warsh signaling caution and limited near-term easing. Markets now price modest further upside risks from sticky services inflation and fiscal dynamics, while upcoming May CPI, retail sales, and the June FOMC meeting will shape whether yields test 4.75% or higher before year-end 2026.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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