Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026—one day from now—prompting traders to focus on the seamless transition after Senate confirmation of President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, on May 13. Powell confirmed on April 29 he will step aside as chair but remain on the Fed Board of Governors until at least early 2028 amid ongoing DOJ probes and administration pressures on central bank independence. This breaks 75-year precedent, denying Trump an immediate board vacancy, though Powell pledged a low-profile role. No unexpected early departure has materialized despite past tensions, with Warsh's swearing-in expected imminently to resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano$81,186 Wol.
May 16
92%
May 15
16%
May 31
100%
June 30
100%
$81,186 Wol.
May 16
92%
May 15
16%
May 31
100%
June 30
100%
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 16, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair expires May 15, 2026—one day from now—prompting traders to focus on the seamless transition after Senate confirmation of President Trump's nominee, Kevin Warsh, on May 13. Powell confirmed on April 29 he will step aside as chair but remain on the Fed Board of Governors until at least early 2028 amid ongoing DOJ probes and administration pressures on central bank independence. This breaks 75-year precedent, denying Trump an immediate board vacancy, though Powell pledged a low-profile role. No unexpected early departure has materialized despite past tensions, with Warsh's swearing-in expected imminently to resolve the market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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