Eurozone GDP growth forecasts for 2026 have clustered around 0.8–1.1% following repeated downward revisions by the ECB, OECD, IMF, and European Commission through mid-2026. Weak Q1 data showing just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion, combined with an ongoing energy price shock and softer external demand, have anchored trader expectations near the 0–1.0% band that now carries a 71.9% implied probability. Consensus projections sit well below historical averages, with limited scope for acceleration absent faster resolution of geopolitical tensions or stronger domestic demand. The thinner 26% weighting on 1.0–2.0% reflects residual upside from German fiscal measures and any easing in energy costs, while sub-zero or above-2% outcomes remain remote given current data trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
0-1.0% 71.9%
1.0-2.0% 26%
<0% 2.9%
4.0-5.0% 2.1%
$29,805 Wol.
$29,805 Wol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
3%
0-1.0%
72%
1.0-2.0%
26%
2.0-3.0%
1%
3.0-4.0%
<1%
4.0-5.0%
2%
5.0-6.0%
<1%
6.0-7.0%
<1%
7.0%+
<1%
0-1.0% 71.9%
1.0-2.0% 26%
<0% 2.9%
4.0-5.0% 2.1%
$29,805 Wol.
$29,805 Wol.
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$1,623 Wol.
3%
0-1.0%
$11,433 Wol.
72%
1.0-2.0%
$7,076 Wol.
26%
2.0-3.0%
$1,131 Wol.
1%
3.0-4.0%
$1,047 Wol.
<1%
4.0-5.0%
$2,154 Wol.
2%
5.0-6.0%
$1,136 Wol.
<1%
6.0-7.0%
$2,599 Wol.
<1%
7.0%+
$1,606 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth forecasts for 2026 have clustered around 0.8–1.1% following repeated downward revisions by the ECB, OECD, IMF, and European Commission through mid-2026. Weak Q1 data showing just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion, combined with an ongoing energy price shock and softer external demand, have anchored trader expectations near the 0–1.0% band that now carries a 71.9% implied probability. Consensus projections sit well below historical averages, with limited scope for acceleration absent faster resolution of geopolitical tensions or stronger domestic demand. The thinner 26% weighting on 1.0–2.0% reflects residual upside from German fiscal measures and any easing in energy costs, while sub-zero or above-2% outcomes remain remote given current data trends.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$29,805Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Eurozone GDP growth forecasts for 2026 have clustered around 0.8–1.1% following repeated downward revisions by the ECB, OECD, IMF, and European Commission through mid-2026. Weak Q1 data showing just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion, combined with an ongoing energy price shock and softer external demand, have anchored trader expectations near the 0–1.0% band that now carries a 71.9% implied probability. Consensus projections sit well below historical averages, with limited scope for acceleration absent faster resolution of geopolitical tensions or stronger domestic demand. The thinner 26% weighting on 1.0–2.0% reflects residual upside from German fiscal measures and any easing in energy costs, while sub-zero or above-2% outcomes remain remote given current data trends.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$29,805Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone GDP growth forecasts for 2026 have clustered around 0.8–1.1% following repeated downward revisions by the ECB, OECD, IMF, and European Commission through mid-2026. Weak Q1 data showing just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion, combined with an ongoing energy price shock and softer external demand, have anchored trader expectations near the 0–1.0% band that now carries a 71.9% implied probability. Consensus projections sit well below historical averages, with limited scope for acceleration absent faster resolution of geopolitical tensions or stronger domestic demand. The thinner 26% weighting on 1.0–2.0% reflects residual upside from German fiscal measures and any easing in energy costs, while sub-zero or above-2% outcomes remain remote given current data trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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