Polymarket traders' consensus prices Eurozone annual GDP growth in the 1.0-2.0% range at a 67.5% implied probability, anchored by Eurostat's recent confirmation of Q1 2026 expansion at just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year—the weakest since Q2 2025—amid surging energy costs from Middle East tensions. ECB staff projections from March 2026 forecast 0.9% full-year growth, aligning with this positioning, while April inflation climbing to 3.0% year-on-year tempers monetary easing expectations, elevating 0-1.0% (28.8%) and contraction (<0% at 24.9%) risks versus upside bins like 3.0-4.0% (16.4%). Key catalysts ahead include Q2 GDP flash in late July and the ECB's June policy meeting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
1.0-2.0% 69%
3.0-4.0% 16.6%
<0% 7.2%
2.0-3.0% 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
19%
0-1.0%
29%
1.0-2.0%
69%
2.0-3.0%
12%
3.0-4.0%
17%
4.0-5.0%
4%
5.0-6.0%
3%
6.0-7.0%
1%
7.0%+
3%
1.0-2.0% 69%
3.0-4.0% 16.6%
<0% 7.2%
2.0-3.0% 5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$792 Wol.
19%
0-1.0%
$636 Wol.
29%
1.0-2.0%
$1,474 Wol.
69%
2.0-3.0%
$638 Wol.
12%
3.0-4.0%
$554 Wol.
17%
4.0-5.0%
$1,540 Wol.
4%
5.0-6.0%
$631 Wol.
3%
6.0-7.0%
$1,323 Wol.
1%
7.0%+
$1,110 Wol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Polymarket traders' consensus prices Eurozone annual GDP growth in the 1.0-2.0% range at a 67.5% implied probability, anchored by Eurostat's recent confirmation of Q1 2026 expansion at just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year—the weakest since Q2 2025—amid surging energy costs from Middle East tensions. ECB staff projections from March 2026 forecast 0.9% full-year growth, aligning with this positioning, while April inflation climbing to 3.0% year-on-year tempers monetary easing expectations, elevating 0-1.0% (28.8%) and contraction (<0% at 24.9%) risks versus upside bins like 3.0-4.0% (16.4%). Key catalysts ahead include Q2 GDP flash in late July and the ECB's June policy meeting.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Wolumen
$8,699Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Polymarket traders' consensus prices Eurozone annual GDP growth in the 1.0-2.0% range at a 67.5% implied probability, anchored by Eurostat's recent confirmation of Q1 2026 expansion at just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year—the weakest since Q2 2025—amid surging energy costs from Middle East tensions. ECB staff projections from March 2026 forecast 0.9% full-year growth, aligning with this positioning, while April inflation climbing to 3.0% year-on-year tempers monetary easing expectations, elevating 0-1.0% (28.8%) and contraction (<0% at 24.9%) risks versus upside bins like 3.0-4.0% (16.4%). Key catalysts ahead include Q2 GDP flash in late July and the ECB's June policy meeting.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$8,699Data zakończenia
Jan 31, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' consensus prices Eurozone annual GDP growth in the 1.0-2.0% range at a 67.5% implied probability, anchored by Eurostat's recent confirmation of Q1 2026 expansion at just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter and 0.8% year-on-year—the weakest since Q2 2025—amid surging energy costs from Middle East tensions. ECB staff projections from March 2026 forecast 0.9% full-year growth, aligning with this positioning, while April inflation climbing to 3.0% year-on-year tempers monetary easing expectations, elevating 0-1.0% (28.8%) and contraction (<0% at 24.9%) risks versus upside bins like 3.0-4.0% (16.4%). Key catalysts ahead include Q2 GDP flash in late July and the ECB's June policy meeting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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