**Recent July 2026 CPI data, released August 12 and showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline rate (down from 3.5% in June) with core at 2.5%, anchors trader expectations for the August annual print near the same level.** Persistent tariff-driven goods pressures, firm shelter costs, and moderating energy volatility create balanced risks around the 3.3–3.4% band, where market-implied odds sit at 36.0% and 37.5% respectively. Labor-market resilience and services inflation trends add uncertainty, while favorable base effects from prior energy spikes could support a modest decline. The closely contested probabilities reflect trader assessment of these offsetting forces ahead of the mid-September release, which will inform Federal Reserve rate-path expectations at the September FOMC meeting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Inflation US - Annual
August Inflation US - Annual
3.4% 38%
3.3% 37%
3.5% 16%
3.6% 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
3%
3.0%
5%
3.1%
3%
3.2%
4%
3.3%
37%
3.4%
38%
3.5%
16%
3.6%
7%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
3%
3.9%
2%
≥4.0%
1%
3.4% 38%
3.3% 37%
3.5% 16%
3.6% 7%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.9%
$175 Wol.
3%
3.0%
$204 Wol.
5%
3.1%
$202 Wol.
3%
3.2%
$155 Wol.
4%
3.3%
$1,685 Wol.
37%
3.4%
$3,558 Wol.
38%
3.5%
$389 Wol.
16%
3.6%
$175 Wol.
7%
3.7%
$274 Wol.
3%
3.8%
$295 Wol.
3%
3.9%
$311 Wol.
2%
≥4.0%
$196 Wol.
1%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Recent July 2026 CPI data, released August 12 and showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline rate (down from 3.5% in June) with core at 2.5%, anchors trader expectations for the August annual print near the same level.** Persistent tariff-driven goods pressures, firm shelter costs, and moderating energy volatility create balanced risks around the 3.3–3.4% band, where market-implied odds sit at 36.0% and 37.5% respectively. Labor-market resilience and services inflation trends add uncertainty, while favorable base effects from prior energy spikes could support a modest decline. The closely contested probabilities reflect trader assessment of these offsetting forces ahead of the mid-September release, which will inform Federal Reserve rate-path expectations at the September FOMC meeting.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$7,616Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Recent July 2026 CPI data, released August 12 and showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline rate (down from 3.5% in June) with core at 2.5%, anchors trader expectations for the August annual print near the same level.** Persistent tariff-driven goods pressures, firm shelter costs, and moderating energy volatility create balanced risks around the 3.3–3.4% band, where market-implied odds sit at 36.0% and 37.5% respectively. Labor-market resilience and services inflation trends add uncertainty, while favorable base effects from prior energy spikes could support a modest decline. The closely contested probabilities reflect trader assessment of these offsetting forces ahead of the mid-September release, which will inform Federal Reserve rate-path expectations at the September FOMC meeting.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$7,616Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent July 2026 CPI data, released August 12 and showing a 3.4% year-over-year headline rate (down from 3.5% in June) with core at 2.5%, anchors trader expectations for the August annual print near the same level.** Persistent tariff-driven goods pressures, firm shelter costs, and moderating energy volatility create balanced risks around the 3.3–3.4% band, where market-implied odds sit at 36.0% and 37.5% respectively. Labor-market resilience and services inflation trends add uncertainty, while favorable base effects from prior energy spikes could support a modest decline. The closely contested probabilities reflect trader assessment of these offsetting forces ahead of the mid-September release, which will inform Federal Reserve rate-path expectations at the September FOMC meeting.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania