Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for China Annual Inflation 2026—0.6–1.0% at 32% and 1.1–1.5% at 31%—reflect uncertainty following April's consumer price index (CPI) rising 1.2% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8–0.9% amid energy cost surges from global oil shocks, including gasoline price swings. The January–April average CPI remains subdued at 0.9%, with core inflation edging to 1.2% but weighed by weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and soft consumption despite producer price index (PPI) hitting a 45-month high of 2.8%. Key swing factors include energy pass-through persistence and People's Bank of China stimulus efficacy, with May CPI data due mid-June potentially tipping the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChina Annual Inflation 2026
China Annual Inflation 2026
1.1 – 1.5% 44%
0.6 – 1.0% 32%
2.5%+ 9.7%
2.0-2.4% 8.0%
$39,903 Wol.
$39,903 Wol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
4%
0.6 – 1.0%
32%
1.1 – 1.5%
30%
1.6 – 2.0%
7%
2.0-2.4%
8%
2.5%+
10%
1.1 – 1.5% 44%
0.6 – 1.0% 32%
2.5%+ 9.7%
2.0-2.4% 8.0%
$39,903 Wol.
$39,903 Wol.
Jan 10, 2027
<-1.0%
$17,461 Wol.
<1%
-0.9 – -0.5%
$2,317 Wol.
<1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
$2,534 Wol.
<1%
0.1 – 0.5%
$2,821 Wol.
4%
0.6 – 1.0%
$2,926 Wol.
32%
1.1 – 1.5%
$3,312 Wol.
30%
1.6 – 2.0%
$3,628 Wol.
7%
2.0-2.4%
$2,400 Wol.
8%
2.5%+
$2,504 Wol.
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for China Annual Inflation 2026—0.6–1.0% at 32% and 1.1–1.5% at 31%—reflect uncertainty following April's consumer price index (CPI) rising 1.2% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8–0.9% amid energy cost surges from global oil shocks, including gasoline price swings. The January–April average CPI remains subdued at 0.9%, with core inflation edging to 1.2% but weighed by weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and soft consumption despite producer price index (PPI) hitting a 45-month high of 2.8%. Key swing factors include energy pass-through persistence and People's Bank of China stimulus efficacy, with May CPI data due mid-June potentially tipping the balance.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Wolumen
$39,903Data zakończenia
Jan 10, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for China Annual Inflation 2026—0.6–1.0% at 32% and 1.1–1.5% at 31%—reflect uncertainty following April's consumer price index (CPI) rising 1.2% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8–0.9% amid energy cost surges from global oil shocks, including gasoline price swings. The January–April average CPI remains subdued at 0.9%, with core inflation edging to 1.2% but weighed by weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and soft consumption despite producer price index (PPI) hitting a 45-month high of 2.8%. Key swing factors include energy pass-through persistence and People's Bank of China stimulus efficacy, with May CPI data due mid-June potentially tipping the balance.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Wolumen
$39,903Data zakończenia
Jan 10, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders' closely matched implied probabilities for China Annual Inflation 2026—0.6–1.0% at 32% and 1.1–1.5% at 31%—reflect uncertainty following April's consumer price index (CPI) rising 1.2% year-over-year, beating consensus estimates of 0.8–0.9% amid energy cost surges from global oil shocks, including gasoline price swings. The January–April average CPI remains subdued at 0.9%, with core inflation edging to 1.2% but weighed by weak domestic demand, property sector headwinds, and soft consumption despite producer price index (PPI) hitting a 45-month high of 2.8%. Key swing factors include energy pass-through persistence and People's Bank of China stimulus efficacy, with May CPI data due mid-June potentially tipping the balance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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