China's consumer price index has shown persistent softness in 2026, with the annual rate easing to 0.5% in July from 1.0% the prior month amid declining food costs and slower non-food gains. This aligns with broader weak domestic demand, modest producer price trends, and stimulus measures that have yet to generate sustained price pressures. Forecasters including the Asian Development Bank project full-year inflation near 1.2%, while recent monthly prints and base effects support trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% band. Upcoming data releases and any additional policy adjustments remain key variables that could shift positioning within low-single-digit outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoChina Annual Inflation 2026
0.6 – 1.0% 43%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.6%
1.1 – 1.5% 16%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$72,219 Wol.
$72,219 Wol.
<-1.0%
4%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
43%
1.1 – 1.5%
16%
1.6 – 2.0%
5%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
0.6 – 1.0% 43%
0.1 – 0.5% 18.6%
1.1 – 1.5% 16%
2.0-2.4% 5.5%
$72,219 Wol.
$72,219 Wol.
<-1.0%
4%
-0.9 – -0.5%
1%
-0.4 – 0.0%
3%
0.1 – 0.5%
19%
0.6 – 1.0%
43%
1.1 – 1.5%
16%
1.6 – 2.0%
5%
2.0-2.4%
6%
2.5%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly NBS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for December 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Indexes in December 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly NBS CPI news release which reports inflation during 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/ReleaseCalendar/
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...China's consumer price index has shown persistent softness in 2026, with the annual rate easing to 0.5% in July from 1.0% the prior month amid declining food costs and slower non-food gains. This aligns with broader weak domestic demand, modest producer price trends, and stimulus measures that have yet to generate sustained price pressures. Forecasters including the Asian Development Bank project full-year inflation near 1.2%, while recent monthly prints and base effects support trader consensus around the 0.6–1.0% band. Upcoming data releases and any additional policy adjustments remain key variables that could shift positioning within low-single-digit outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano


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