Recent Japan core CPI readings, including 1.8% YoY nationally in July and 1.8% in Tokyo for August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the full-year 2026 figure, with government fuel subsidies and base effects limiting pass-through from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments. The Bank of Japan’s latest projections and communications point to underlying inflation rising gradually toward its 2% target by late fiscal 2026, tempered by wage-price dynamics and policy normalization that includes an expected September rate hike. Market-implied odds reflect this balance between contained near-term prints and upside risks from energy costs or yen weakness, while the closely contested 1.9% versus 2.0-2.4% brackets highlight sensitivity to the next national data releases and BoJ guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJapan Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026
≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 3.0%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,708 Wol.
$40,708 Wol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5-2.9%
3%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 3.0%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,708 Wol.
$40,708 Wol.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$19,311 Wol.
51%
2.0-2.4%
$11,384 Wol.
44%
2.5-2.9%
$5,548 Wol.
3%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 Wol.
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,253 Wol.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan core CPI readings, including 1.8% YoY nationally in July and 1.8% in Tokyo for August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the full-year 2026 figure, with government fuel subsidies and base effects limiting pass-through from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments. The Bank of Japan’s latest projections and communications point to underlying inflation rising gradually toward its 2% target by late fiscal 2026, tempered by wage-price dynamics and policy normalization that includes an expected September rate hike. Market-implied odds reflect this balance between contained near-term prints and upside risks from energy costs or yen weakness, while the closely contested 1.9% versus 2.0-2.4% brackets highlight sensitivity to the next national data releases and BoJ guidance.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Wolumen
$40,708Data zakończenia
Jan 22, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent Japan core CPI readings, including 1.8% YoY nationally in July and 1.8% in Tokyo for August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the full-year 2026 figure, with government fuel subsidies and base effects limiting pass-through from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments. The Bank of Japan’s latest projections and communications point to underlying inflation rising gradually toward its 2% target by late fiscal 2026, tempered by wage-price dynamics and policy normalization that includes an expected September rate hike. Market-implied odds reflect this balance between contained near-term prints and upside risks from energy costs or yen weakness, while the closely contested 1.9% versus 2.0-2.4% brackets highlight sensitivity to the next national data releases and BoJ guidance.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Wolumen
$40,708Data zakończenia
Jan 22, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan core CPI readings, including 1.8% YoY nationally in July and 1.8% in Tokyo for August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the full-year 2026 figure, with government fuel subsidies and base effects limiting pass-through from elevated oil prices tied to Middle East developments. The Bank of Japan’s latest projections and communications point to underlying inflation rising gradually toward its 2% target by late fiscal 2026, tempered by wage-price dynamics and policy normalization that includes an expected September rate hike. Market-implied odds reflect this balance between contained near-term prints and upside risks from energy costs or yen weakness, while the closely contested 1.9% versus 2.0-2.4% brackets highlight sensitivity to the next national data releases and BoJ guidance.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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