Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) holding steady at 1.9% year-over-year, below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a fifth straight month, while the core measure excluding only fresh food eased to 1.7%. Government energy subsidies and softening food price gains have tempered near-term readings, yet persistent yen weakness, elevated import costs, and ongoing wage-price pass-through support expectations for a pickup in underlying inflation later in 2026. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 2.0-2.4% range as trader consensus incorporates the BoJ’s anticipated policy normalization and forecasts of core-core CPI exceeding 2% in the second half of the year, tempered by uncertainty around the pace of global commodity pressures and domestic demand.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
2.0-2.4% 68%
≤1.9% 24%
2.5-2.9% 1.0%
4.0%+ <1%
$64,985 Wol.
$64,985 Wol.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
24%
2.0-2.4%
68%
2.5-2.9%
1%
3.0-3.4%
<1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
1%
2.0-2.4% 68%
≤1.9% 24%
2.5-2.9% 1.0%
4.0%+ <1%
$64,985 Wol.
$64,985 Wol.
Feb 12, 2027
≤1.9%
$17,909 Wol.
24%
2.0-2.4%
$29,027 Wol.
68%
2.5-2.9%
$11,574 Wol.
1%
3.0-3.4%
$2,669 Wol.
<1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,570 Wol.
<1%
4.0%+
$2,236 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) holding steady at 1.9% year-over-year, below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a fifth straight month, while the core measure excluding only fresh food eased to 1.7%. Government energy subsidies and softening food price gains have tempered near-term readings, yet persistent yen weakness, elevated import costs, and ongoing wage-price pass-through support expectations for a pickup in underlying inflation later in 2026. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 2.0-2.4% range as trader consensus incorporates the BoJ’s anticipated policy normalization and forecasts of core-core CPI exceeding 2% in the second half of the year, tempered by uncertainty around the pace of global commodity pressures and domestic demand.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Wolumen
$64,985Data zakończenia
Feb 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) holding steady at 1.9% year-over-year, below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a fifth straight month, while the core measure excluding only fresh food eased to 1.7%. Government energy subsidies and softening food price gains have tempered near-term readings, yet persistent yen weakness, elevated import costs, and ongoing wage-price pass-through support expectations for a pickup in underlying inflation later in 2026. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 2.0-2.4% range as trader consensus incorporates the BoJ’s anticipated policy normalization and forecasts of core-core CPI exceeding 2% in the second half of the year, tempered by uncertainty around the pace of global commodity pressures and domestic demand.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food and energy (All items less fresh food and energy, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core-core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Wolumen
$64,985Data zakończenia
Feb 12, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jun 17, 2026, 7:26 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent August 2026 data showed Japan’s core-core CPI (excluding fresh food and energy) holding steady at 1.9% year-over-year, below the Bank of Japan’s 2% target for a fifth straight month, while the core measure excluding only fresh food eased to 1.7%. Government energy subsidies and softening food price gains have tempered near-term readings, yet persistent yen weakness, elevated import costs, and ongoing wage-price pass-through support expectations for a pickup in underlying inflation later in 2026. Market-implied odds heavily favor the 2.0-2.4% range as trader consensus incorporates the BoJ’s anticipated policy normalization and forecasts of core-core CPI exceeding 2% in the second half of the year, tempered by uncertainty around the pace of global commodity pressures and domestic demand.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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