South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market shows closely matched probabilities, with the 2.7–2.9% band leading at 32.8% implied odds ahead of 3.0%+ at 28.6%. Recent July CPI data at 2.8% year-over-year, below the 3.0% consensus, reflects easing transport and food pressures after June’s 3.2% peak, yet core inflation accelerated to its highest level since late 2023. The Bank of Korea’s July 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%—its first since 2023—and subsequent signals of further tightening underscore concerns over energy prices, a weaker won, and domestic demand. Official projections center on 2.6–2.7% for the year, but traders weigh upside risks from commodity volatility and potential policy responses against moderating headline trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSouth Korea Annual Inflation 2026
2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.4% to 2.6% 24.0%
2.1% to 2.3% 13.8%
$31,215 Wol.
$31,215 Wol.
<1.5%
3%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
14%
2.4% to 2.6%
24%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
29%
2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.4% to 2.6% 24.0%
2.1% to 2.3% 13.8%
$31,215 Wol.
$31,215 Wol.
<1.5%
3%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
14%
2.4% to 2.6%
24%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s 2026 annual inflation market shows closely matched probabilities, with the 2.7–2.9% band leading at 32.8% implied odds ahead of 3.0%+ at 28.6%. Recent July CPI data at 2.8% year-over-year, below the 3.0% consensus, reflects easing transport and food pressures after June’s 3.2% peak, yet core inflation accelerated to its highest level since late 2023. The Bank of Korea’s July 25-basis-point hike to 2.75%—its first since 2023—and subsequent signals of further tightening underscore concerns over energy prices, a weaker won, and domestic demand. Official projections center on 2.6–2.7% for the year, but traders weigh upside risks from commodity volatility and potential policy responses against moderating headline trends.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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