South Korea's April 2026 consumer price index rose to 2.6 percent year-over-year, its highest level since mid-2024 and a clear acceleration from 2.2 percent in March, driven by sharp gains in energy and transport costs amid elevated oil prices. This latest reading has shifted trader consensus toward a full-year average in the 2.1–2.6 percent range, where the three leading market-implied outcomes now sit within a tight 34–37 percent band. Bank of Korea officials have signaled a potential policy pivot from rate cuts to hikes, citing inflation expectations near 2.9 percent and growth that may exceed prior 2.0 percent forecasts, while core inflation remains anchored at 2.2 percent. Key near-term catalysts include the May CPI release and the central bank's next monetary policy decision, which could further delineate between the closely matched 2.1–2.3 percent, 2.4–2.6 percent, and 2.7–2.9 percent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSouth Korea Annual Inflation 2026
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 37.3%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 Wol.
$11,072 Wol.
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
37%
2.4% to 2.6%
37%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
28%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 37.3%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 Wol.
$11,072 Wol.
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
31%
2.1% to 2.3%
37%
2.4% to 2.6%
37%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
28%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Rynek otwarty: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea's April 2026 consumer price index rose to 2.6 percent year-over-year, its highest level since mid-2024 and a clear acceleration from 2.2 percent in March, driven by sharp gains in energy and transport costs amid elevated oil prices. This latest reading has shifted trader consensus toward a full-year average in the 2.1–2.6 percent range, where the three leading market-implied outcomes now sit within a tight 34–37 percent band. Bank of Korea officials have signaled a potential policy pivot from rate cuts to hikes, citing inflation expectations near 2.9 percent and growth that may exceed prior 2.0 percent forecasts, while core inflation remains anchored at 2.2 percent. Key near-term catalysts include the May CPI release and the central bank's next monetary policy decision, which could further delineate between the closely matched 2.1–2.3 percent, 2.4–2.6 percent, and 2.7–2.9 percent bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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