Recent April nonfarm payrolls data, showing a 115,000-job gain that exceeded the 55,000–65,000 consensus, has anchored trader sentiment for the May report due out June 5. Market-implied odds reflect this mixed signal, with 100k–150k narrowly leading at 41% as resilient hiring in healthcare and transportation offsets ongoing weakness in information and finance sectors. At the same time, the 0–50k outcome remains close at 37%, driven by broader moderation trends including steady 4.3% unemployment and decelerating wage growth. Key swing factors include revisions to prior months, seasonal adjustments in the establishment survey, and any acceleration in jobless claims or small-business hiring data before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHow many jobs added in May?
How many jobs added in May?
150k – 200k 23%
50k – 100k 22%
200k+ 20%
<0 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 5, 2026
<0
13%
0 – 50k
36%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
41%
150k – 200k
23%
200k+
20%
150k – 200k 23%
50k – 100k 22%
200k+ 20%
<0 13%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 5, 2026
<0
$138 Wol.
13%
0 – 50k
$75 Wol.
36%
50k – 100k
$60 Wol.
17%
100k – 150k
$63 Wol.
41%
150k – 200k
$38 Wol.
23%
200k+
$38 Wol.
20%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent April nonfarm payrolls data, showing a 115,000-job gain that exceeded the 55,000–65,000 consensus, has anchored trader sentiment for the May report due out June 5. Market-implied odds reflect this mixed signal, with 100k–150k narrowly leading at 41% as resilient hiring in healthcare and transportation offsets ongoing weakness in information and finance sectors. At the same time, the 0–50k outcome remains close at 37%, driven by broader moderation trends including steady 4.3% unemployment and decelerating wage growth. Key swing factors include revisions to prior months, seasonal adjustments in the establishment survey, and any acceleration in jobless claims or small-business hiring data before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Rynek otwarty: May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Wolumen
$412Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRecent April nonfarm payrolls data, showing a 115,000-job gain that exceeded the 55,000–65,000 consensus, has anchored trader sentiment for the May report due out June 5. Market-implied odds reflect this mixed signal, with 100k–150k narrowly leading at 41% as resilient hiring in healthcare and transportation offsets ongoing weakness in information and finance sectors. At the same time, the 0–50k outcome remains close at 37%, driven by broader moderation trends including steady 4.3% unemployment and decelerating wage growth. Key swing factors include revisions to prior months, seasonal adjustments in the establishment survey, and any acceleration in jobless claims or small-business hiring data before resolution.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Wolumen
$412Data zakończenia
Jun 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April nonfarm payrolls data, showing a 115,000-job gain that exceeded the 55,000–65,000 consensus, has anchored trader sentiment for the May report due out June 5. Market-implied odds reflect this mixed signal, with 100k–150k narrowly leading at 41% as resilient hiring in healthcare and transportation offsets ongoing weakness in information and finance sectors. At the same time, the 0–50k outcome remains close at 37%, driven by broader moderation trends including steady 4.3% unemployment and decelerating wage growth. Key swing factors include revisions to prior months, seasonal adjustments in the establishment survey, and any acceleration in jobless claims or small-business hiring data before resolution.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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