Tight cattle supplies, with the U.S. herd at its lowest level since 1951 due to prolonged drought, elevated feed and fertilizer costs, and prior herd liquidation, remain the dominant driver of ground beef price pressure in 2026. USDA forecasts show beef production declining to around 25.5–25.8 billion pounds, supporting higher live cattle prices near $240–251 per cwt and retail ground beef levels already approaching or exceeding $9–10 per pound in some periods. Strong consumer protein demand, heavier carcass weights boosting fat trimmings, and reliance on lean trim imports add to the dynamics, while potential herd rebuilding is delayed into 2027. Key upcoming USDA livestock reports and quarterly production data will inform near-term price trajectories.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$21,296 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
47%
$8.000+
42%
$9.000+
31%
$10.000+
25%
$21,296 Wol.
$7.000+
$59 Wol.
47%
$8.000+
$1,918 Wol.
42%
$9.000+
$740 Wol.
31%
$10.000+
$18,579 Wol.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies, with the U.S. herd at its lowest level since 1951 due to prolonged drought, elevated feed and fertilizer costs, and prior herd liquidation, remain the dominant driver of ground beef price pressure in 2026. USDA forecasts show beef production declining to around 25.5–25.8 billion pounds, supporting higher live cattle prices near $240–251 per cwt and retail ground beef levels already approaching or exceeding $9–10 per pound in some periods. Strong consumer protein demand, heavier carcass weights boosting fat trimmings, and reliance on lean trim imports add to the dynamics, while potential herd rebuilding is delayed into 2027. Key upcoming USDA livestock reports and quarterly production data will inform near-term price trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$21,296Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight cattle supplies, with the U.S. herd at its lowest level since 1951 due to prolonged drought, elevated feed and fertilizer costs, and prior herd liquidation, remain the dominant driver of ground beef price pressure in 2026. USDA forecasts show beef production declining to around 25.5–25.8 billion pounds, supporting higher live cattle prices near $240–251 per cwt and retail ground beef levels already approaching or exceeding $9–10 per pound in some periods. Strong consumer protein demand, heavier carcass weights boosting fat trimmings, and reliance on lean trim imports add to the dynamics, while potential herd rebuilding is delayed into 2027. Key upcoming USDA livestock reports and quarterly production data will inform near-term price trajectories.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$21,296Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight cattle supplies, with the U.S. herd at its lowest level since 1951 due to prolonged drought, elevated feed and fertilizer costs, and prior herd liquidation, remain the dominant driver of ground beef price pressure in 2026. USDA forecasts show beef production declining to around 25.5–25.8 billion pounds, supporting higher live cattle prices near $240–251 per cwt and retail ground beef levels already approaching or exceeding $9–10 per pound in some periods. Strong consumer protein demand, heavier carcass weights boosting fat trimmings, and reliance on lean trim imports add to the dynamics, while potential herd rebuilding is delayed into 2027. Key upcoming USDA livestock reports and quarterly production data will inform near-term price trajectories.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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