Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026—down slightly from prior year—continue to constrain beef production, now forecasted by USDA at 25.79 billion pounds for the year, a further decline that supports elevated wholesale prices averaging near $350 per hundredweight. Retail ground beef prices have climbed to around $6.90 per pound recently, up nearly 19% year-over-year per BLS data, amid steady consumer demand and lean cow slaughter dynamics boosting grind values. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, with market-implied odds pricing in sustained upward pressure despite wide forecast bands (beef prices +7.8% predicted, ranging -6.6% to +25.4%). Key catalysts include summer grilling demand and May's USDA WASDE report.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$18,653 Wol.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
78%
$8.000+
53%
$9.000+
38%
$10.000+
16%
$18,653 Wol.
$7.000+
$50 Wol.
78%
$8.000+
$1,474 Wol.
53%
$9.000+
$22 Wol.
38%
$10.000+
$17,107 Wol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026—down slightly from prior year—continue to constrain beef production, now forecasted by USDA at 25.79 billion pounds for the year, a further decline that supports elevated wholesale prices averaging near $350 per hundredweight. Retail ground beef prices have climbed to around $6.90 per pound recently, up nearly 19% year-over-year per BLS data, amid steady consumer demand and lean cow slaughter dynamics boosting grind values. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, with market-implied odds pricing in sustained upward pressure despite wide forecast bands (beef prices +7.8% predicted, ranging -6.6% to +25.4%). Key catalysts include summer grilling demand and May's USDA WASDE report.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Wolumen
$18,653Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026—down slightly from prior year—continue to constrain beef production, now forecasted by USDA at 25.79 billion pounds for the year, a further decline that supports elevated wholesale prices averaging near $350 per hundredweight. Retail ground beef prices have climbed to around $6.90 per pound recently, up nearly 19% year-over-year per BLS data, amid steady consumer demand and lean cow slaughter dynamics boosting grind values. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, with market-implied odds pricing in sustained upward pressure despite wide forecast bands (beef prices +7.8% predicted, ranging -6.6% to +25.4%). Key catalysts include summer grilling demand and May's USDA WASDE report.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$18,653Data zakończenia
Dec 31, 2026Rynek otwarty
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle inventories at a 75-year low of 86.2 million head as of January 1, 2026—down slightly from prior year—continue to constrain beef production, now forecasted by USDA at 25.79 billion pounds for the year, a further decline that supports elevated wholesale prices averaging near $350 per hundredweight. Retail ground beef prices have climbed to around $6.90 per pound recently, up nearly 19% year-over-year per BLS data, amid steady consumer demand and lean cow slaughter dynamics boosting grind values. Trader sentiment on Polymarket reflects these fundamentals, with market-implied odds pricing in sustained upward pressure despite wide forecast bands (beef prices +7.8% predicted, ranging -6.6% to +25.4%). Key catalysts include summer grilling demand and May's USDA WASDE report.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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