Recent July CPI data showing a 0.1% MoM headline rise and 0.2% core increase, alongside an annual rate easing to 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for August around modest gains of 0.2-0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 0.35% MoM headline for the month, supported by continued moderation in shelter costs and fading energy price pressures from prior shocks. Core measures remain sticky near 2.5% annually, keeping focus on whether labor market softening will sustain disinflation ahead of the September FOMC. These dynamics position 0.4% and 0.2-0.3% as leading implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on a rebound from June's decline without reacceleration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoAugust Inflation US - Monthly
August Inflation US - Monthly
0.4% 36%
0.3% 34%
0.1% 22%
≥0.5% 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
16%
-0.2%
14%
-0.1%
18%
0.0%
13%
0.1%
22%
0.2%
18%
0.3%
34%
0.4%
36%
≥0.5%
20%
0.4% 36%
0.3% 34%
0.1% 22%
≥0.5% 20%
NOWE
NOWE
Sep 11, 2026
≤-0.3%
$0 Wol.
16%
-0.2%
$0 Wol.
14%
-0.1%
$95 Wol.
18%
0.0%
$30 Wol.
13%
0.1%
$0 Wol.
22%
0.2%
$0 Wol.
18%
0.3%
$0 Wol.
34%
0.4%
$0 Wol.
36%
≥0.5%
$0 Wol.
20%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a 0.1% MoM headline rise and 0.2% core increase, alongside an annual rate easing to 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for August around modest gains of 0.2-0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 0.35% MoM headline for the month, supported by continued moderation in shelter costs and fading energy price pressures from prior shocks. Core measures remain sticky near 2.5% annually, keeping focus on whether labor market softening will sustain disinflation ahead of the September FOMC. These dynamics position 0.4% and 0.2-0.3% as leading implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on a rebound from June's decline without reacceleration.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Wolumen
$125Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July CPI data showing a 0.1% MoM headline rise and 0.2% core increase, alongside an annual rate easing to 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for August around modest gains of 0.2-0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 0.35% MoM headline for the month, supported by continued moderation in shelter costs and fading energy price pressures from prior shocks. Core measures remain sticky near 2.5% annually, keeping focus on whether labor market softening will sustain disinflation ahead of the September FOMC. These dynamics position 0.4% and 0.2-0.3% as leading implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on a rebound from June's decline without reacceleration.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$125Data zakończenia
Sep 11, 2026Rynek otwarty
Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data showing a 0.1% MoM headline rise and 0.2% core increase, alongside an annual rate easing to 3.4%, has anchored trader expectations for August around modest gains of 0.2-0.4%. Cleveland Fed nowcasts point to 0.35% MoM headline for the month, supported by continued moderation in shelter costs and fading energy price pressures from prior shocks. Core measures remain sticky near 2.5% annually, keeping focus on whether labor market softening will sustain disinflation ahead of the September FOMC. These dynamics position 0.4% and 0.2-0.3% as leading implied probabilities, reflecting trader consensus on a rebound from June's decline without reacceleration.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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