Argentina’s annual inflation for 2026 remains closely contested between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and crawling-peg exchange-rate regime. Recent INDEC data show the year-over-year rate holding near 33–34% through July 2026 amid monthly prints of 1.9–2.1%, while analyst surveys and IMF/OECD projections cluster around 29–31% for year-end, supported by the sustained primary surplus and reserve-building efforts. Key swing factors include potential adjustments to the peso’s trading band, debt-service pressures, and any reacceleration in core prices or growth rebound that could alter the monetary-policy path. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty in real time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano30.0-34.9% 51.0%
25-29.9% 45%
20-24.9% 1.9%
45%+ 1.9%
$41,125 Wol.
$41,125 Wol.
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
2%
20-24.9%
2%
25-29.9%
45%
30.0-34.9%
51%
35–39.9%
<1%
40-44.9%
1%
45%+
2%
30.0-34.9% 51.0%
25-29.9% 45%
20-24.9% 1.9%
45%+ 1.9%
$41,125 Wol.
$41,125 Wol.
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$4,648 Wol.
2%
20-24.9%
$3,216 Wol.
2%
25-29.9%
$12,331 Wol.
45%
30.0-34.9%
$10,612 Wol.
51%
35–39.9%
$3,367 Wol.
<1%
40-44.9%
$3,511 Wol.
1%
45%+
$3,439 Wol.
2%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s annual inflation for 2026 remains closely contested between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and crawling-peg exchange-rate regime. Recent INDEC data show the year-over-year rate holding near 33–34% through July 2026 amid monthly prints of 1.9–2.1%, while analyst surveys and IMF/OECD projections cluster around 29–31% for year-end, supported by the sustained primary surplus and reserve-building efforts. Key swing factors include potential adjustments to the peso’s trading band, debt-service pressures, and any reacceleration in core prices or growth rebound that could alter the monetary-policy path. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty in real time.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,125Data zakończenia
Jan 10, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s annual inflation for 2026 remains closely contested between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and crawling-peg exchange-rate regime. Recent INDEC data show the year-over-year rate holding near 33–34% through July 2026 amid monthly prints of 1.9–2.1%, while analyst surveys and IMF/OECD projections cluster around 29–31% for year-end, supported by the sustained primary surplus and reserve-building efforts. Key swing factors include potential adjustments to the peso’s trading band, debt-service pressures, and any reacceleration in core prices or growth rebound that could alter the monetary-policy path. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty in real time.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$41,125Data zakończenia
Jan 10, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s annual inflation for 2026 remains closely contested between the 25–29.9% and 30–34.9% ranges, reflecting trader focus on the pace of disinflation under President Milei’s fiscal austerity and crawling-peg exchange-rate regime. Recent INDEC data show the year-over-year rate holding near 33–34% through July 2026 amid monthly prints of 1.9–2.1%, while analyst surveys and IMF/OECD projections cluster around 29–31% for year-end, supported by the sustained primary surplus and reserve-building efforts. Key swing factors include potential adjustments to the peso’s trading band, debt-service pressures, and any reacceleration in core prices or growth rebound that could alter the monetary-policy path. Market-implied odds capture this uncertainty in real time.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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