Polymarket traders price Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in a tight 25-39.9% range, with 30-34.9% and 35-39.9% each at 27-28% implied probability, reflecting closely contested sentiment after INDEC's April consumer price index (CPI) rose just 2.6% month-over-month—down from March's 3.4%—pushing year-over-year inflation to 32.4%. This deceleration under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening supports lower bins, yet the Central Bank's May REM survey shows analysts hiking end-2026 forecasts to a 30.5% median from prior 29.1%, amid sticky core pressures from wages and regulated prices. Key swing factors include May CPI (due soon) and BCRA rate path, with sustained sub-3% monthly prints needed to favor sub-30% outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano35–39.9% 27.3%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 16.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
22%
30.0-34.9%
33%
35–39.9%
27%
40-44.9%
17%
45%+
8%
35–39.9% 27.3%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 16.8%
NOWE
NOWE
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$2,516 Wol.
7%
20-24.9%
$1,429 Wol.
17%
25-29.9%
$1,626 Wol.
22%
30.0-34.9%
$976 Wol.
33%
35–39.9%
$1,094 Wol.
27%
40-44.9%
$928 Wol.
17%
45%+
$1,156 Wol.
8%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in a tight 25-39.9% range, with 30-34.9% and 35-39.9% each at 27-28% implied probability, reflecting closely contested sentiment after INDEC's April consumer price index (CPI) rose just 2.6% month-over-month—down from March's 3.4%—pushing year-over-year inflation to 32.4%. This deceleration under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening supports lower bins, yet the Central Bank's May REM survey shows analysts hiking end-2026 forecasts to a 30.5% median from prior 29.1%, amid sticky core pressures from wages and regulated prices. Key swing factors include May CPI (due soon) and BCRA rate path, with sustained sub-3% monthly prints needed to favor sub-30% outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Wolumen
$9,725Data zakończenia
Jan 10, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Polymarket traders price Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in a tight 25-39.9% range, with 30-34.9% and 35-39.9% each at 27-28% implied probability, reflecting closely contested sentiment after INDEC's April consumer price index (CPI) rose just 2.6% month-over-month—down from March's 3.4%—pushing year-over-year inflation to 32.4%. This deceleration under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening supports lower bins, yet the Central Bank's May REM survey shows analysts hiking end-2026 forecasts to a 30.5% median from prior 29.1%, amid sticky core pressures from wages and regulated prices. Key swing factors include May CPI (due soon) and BCRA rate path, with sustained sub-3% monthly prints needed to favor sub-30% outcomes.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Wolumen
$9,725Data zakończenia
Jan 10, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price Argentina's 2026 annual inflation in a tight 25-39.9% range, with 30-34.9% and 35-39.9% each at 27-28% implied probability, reflecting closely contested sentiment after INDEC's April consumer price index (CPI) rose just 2.6% month-over-month—down from March's 3.4%—pushing year-over-year inflation to 32.4%. This deceleration under President Milei's fiscal austerity and monetary tightening supports lower bins, yet the Central Bank's May REM survey shows analysts hiking end-2026 forecasts to a 30.5% median from prior 29.1%, amid sticky core pressures from wages and regulated prices. Key swing factors include May CPI (due soon) and BCRA rate path, with sustained sub-3% monthly prints needed to favor sub-30% outcomes.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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