Eurozone HICP inflation forecasts for 2026 have been revised higher amid persistent energy price pressures, with the ECB's June 2026 staff projections now centering on a 3.0% annual average—up 0.4 percentage points from March—driven by a surge in energy components that is expected to peak near 3.4% in late 2026. July 2026 data printed at 2.9% year-over-year, with energy inflation at 10.3%, and Bloomberg surveys point to August accelerating toward 3.0–3.3% as Middle East tensions sustain volatility. Market-implied odds favoring outcomes above 3.1% reflect these upward revisions, elevated core readings near 2.5%, and the ECB's data-dependent stance, while professional forecasters' 2.7% consensus highlights uncertainty around second-round effects and potential policy responses ahead of the September inflation release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 66.1%
2.8-3.0% 20.4%
2.5–2.7% 6.3%
1.0–1.2% 4.7%
$109,161 Wol.
$109,161 Wol.
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
5%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
2%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
1%
2.5–2.7%
6%
2.8-3.0%
20%
3.1%+
66%
3.1%+ 66.1%
2.8-3.0% 20.4%
2.5–2.7% 6.3%
1.0–1.2% 4.7%
$109,161 Wol.
$109,161 Wol.
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
5%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
2%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
1%
2.5–2.7%
6%
2.8-3.0%
20%
3.1%+
66%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Rozstrzygający
0x2F5e3684c...Eurozone HICP inflation forecasts for 2026 have been revised higher amid persistent energy price pressures, with the ECB's June 2026 staff projections now centering on a 3.0% annual average—up 0.4 percentage points from March—driven by a surge in energy components that is expected to peak near 3.4% in late 2026. July 2026 data printed at 2.9% year-over-year, with energy inflation at 10.3%, and Bloomberg surveys point to August accelerating toward 3.0–3.3% as Middle East tensions sustain volatility. Market-implied odds favoring outcomes above 3.1% reflect these upward revisions, elevated core readings near 2.5%, and the ECB's data-dependent stance, while professional forecasters' 2.7% consensus highlights uncertainty around second-round effects and potential policy responses ahead of the September inflation release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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