Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed US-Iran hostilities that lifted energy prices, have driven ECB June 2026 staff projections for euro area HICP inflation to an average 3.0% in 2026, with a quarterly peak near 3.4%. This energy-driven upside, alongside sticky services inflation near 3.3% in July data, underpins the 54.3% market-implied probability for a 3.1%+ annual outcome. The Q3 2026 Survey of Professional Forecasters revised its 2026 consensus modestly lower to 2.7% after some energy-price easing, while July HICP rose to 2.9% year-over-year. Traders appear to price in persistent pass-through effects and limited near-term de-escalation, with upcoming inflation releases and FOMC-ECB divergence as key swing factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 54.0%
2.8-3.0% 19.8%
2.5–2.7% 7.4%
2.2–2.4% 6.3%
$106,234 Wol.
$106,234 Wol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
1%
1.6–1.8%
2%
1.9–2.1%
2%
2.2–2.4%
6%
2.5–2.7%
7%
2.8-3.0%
20%
3.1%+
54%
3.1%+ 54.0%
2.8-3.0% 19.8%
2.5–2.7% 7.4%
2.2–2.4% 6.3%
$106,234 Wol.
$106,234 Wol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$4,375 Wol.
<1%
1.0–1.2%
$16,114 Wol.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$16,210 Wol.
1%
1.6–1.8%
$3,303 Wol.
2%
1.9–2.1%
$25,827 Wol.
2%
2.2–2.4%
$4,226 Wol.
6%
2.5–2.7%
$7,647 Wol.
7%
2.8-3.0%
$16,812 Wol.
20%
3.1%+
$11,720 Wol.
54%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed US-Iran hostilities that lifted energy prices, have driven ECB June 2026 staff projections for euro area HICP inflation to an average 3.0% in 2026, with a quarterly peak near 3.4%. This energy-driven upside, alongside sticky services inflation near 3.3% in July data, underpins the 54.3% market-implied probability for a 3.1%+ annual outcome. The Q3 2026 Survey of Professional Forecasters revised its 2026 consensus modestly lower to 2.7% after some energy-price easing, while July HICP rose to 2.9% year-over-year. Traders appear to price in persistent pass-through effects and limited near-term de-escalation, with upcoming inflation releases and FOMC-ECB divergence as key swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$106,234Data zakończenia
Jan 19, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed US-Iran hostilities that lifted energy prices, have driven ECB June 2026 staff projections for euro area HICP inflation to an average 3.0% in 2026, with a quarterly peak near 3.4%. This energy-driven upside, alongside sticky services inflation near 3.3% in July data, underpins the 54.3% market-implied probability for a 3.1%+ annual outcome. The Q3 2026 Survey of Professional Forecasters revised its 2026 consensus modestly lower to 2.7% after some energy-price easing, while July HICP rose to 2.9% year-over-year. Traders appear to price in persistent pass-through effects and limited near-term de-escalation, with upcoming inflation releases and FOMC-ECB divergence as key swing factors.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Wolumen
$106,234Data zakończenia
Jan 19, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, including renewed US-Iran hostilities that lifted energy prices, have driven ECB June 2026 staff projections for euro area HICP inflation to an average 3.0% in 2026, with a quarterly peak near 3.4%. This energy-driven upside, alongside sticky services inflation near 3.3% in July data, underpins the 54.3% market-implied probability for a 3.1%+ annual outcome. The Q3 2026 Survey of Professional Forecasters revised its 2026 consensus modestly lower to 2.7% after some energy-price easing, while July HICP rose to 2.9% year-over-year. Traders appear to price in persistent pass-through effects and limited near-term de-escalation, with upcoming inflation releases and FOMC-ECB divergence as key swing factors.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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