Traders assign the highest market-implied odds of 57.8% to Eurozone HICP inflation averaging above 3.1% for 2026, driven primarily by the sharp energy price surge stemming from the Middle East conflict that lifted the April 2026 flash reading to 3.0% from 2.6% in March. The ECB’s latest Survey of Professional Forecasters revised its 2026 headline projection upward to 2.7%, citing persistent energy cost pass-through and modest second-round wage pressures, while core inflation held near 2.2%. Weaker Q1 GDP growth of just 0.1% has tempered expectations for aggressive ECB easing, supporting the elevated probability of outcomes above 2.8%. With full April data due May 20 and the next ECB policy meeting ahead, these factors continue to anchor trader consensus on a higher inflation path for the year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 60.9%
1.6–1.8% 26.1%
2.8-3.0% 19.6%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,746 Wol.
$12,746 Wol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
21%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
26%
1.9–2.1%
2%
2.2–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.7%
11%
2.8-3.0%
20%
3.1%+
58%
3.1%+ 60.9%
1.6–1.8% 26.1%
2.8-3.0% 19.6%
<1.0% 12.8%
$12,746 Wol.
$12,746 Wol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$1,069 Wol.
21%
1.0–1.2%
$769 Wol.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$2,017 Wol.
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,112 Wol.
26%
1.9–2.1%
$2,821 Wol.
2%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 Wol.
11%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 Wol.
11%
2.8-3.0%
$635 Wol.
20%
3.1%+
$2,163 Wol.
58%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTraders assign the highest market-implied odds of 57.8% to Eurozone HICP inflation averaging above 3.1% for 2026, driven primarily by the sharp energy price surge stemming from the Middle East conflict that lifted the April 2026 flash reading to 3.0% from 2.6% in March. The ECB’s latest Survey of Professional Forecasters revised its 2026 headline projection upward to 2.7%, citing persistent energy cost pass-through and modest second-round wage pressures, while core inflation held near 2.2%. Weaker Q1 GDP growth of just 0.1% has tempered expectations for aggressive ECB easing, supporting the elevated probability of outcomes above 2.8%. With full April data due May 20 and the next ECB policy meeting ahead, these factors continue to anchor trader consensus on a higher inflation path for the year.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Rynek otwarty: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Wolumen
$12,746Data zakończenia
Jan 19, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlTraders assign the highest market-implied odds of 57.8% to Eurozone HICP inflation averaging above 3.1% for 2026, driven primarily by the sharp energy price surge stemming from the Middle East conflict that lifted the April 2026 flash reading to 3.0% from 2.6% in March. The ECB’s latest Survey of Professional Forecasters revised its 2026 headline projection upward to 2.7%, citing persistent energy cost pass-through and modest second-round wage pressures, while core inflation held near 2.2%. Weaker Q1 GDP growth of just 0.1% has tempered expectations for aggressive ECB easing, supporting the elevated probability of outcomes above 2.8%. With full April data due May 20 and the next ECB policy meeting ahead, these factors continue to anchor trader consensus on a higher inflation path for the year.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Wolumen
$12,746Data zakończenia
Jan 19, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders assign the highest market-implied odds of 57.8% to Eurozone HICP inflation averaging above 3.1% for 2026, driven primarily by the sharp energy price surge stemming from the Middle East conflict that lifted the April 2026 flash reading to 3.0% from 2.6% in March. The ECB’s latest Survey of Professional Forecasters revised its 2026 headline projection upward to 2.7%, citing persistent energy cost pass-through and modest second-round wage pressures, while core inflation held near 2.2%. Weaker Q1 GDP growth of just 0.1% has tempered expectations for aggressive ECB easing, supporting the elevated probability of outcomes above 2.8%. With full April data due May 20 and the next ECB policy meeting ahead, these factors continue to anchor trader consensus on a higher inflation path for the year.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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