Recent monthly inflation readings in Argentina have decelerated toward the low-2% range amid President Milei’s sustained fiscal austerity, spending cuts, and exchange-rate band adjustments aimed at rebuilding reserves and anchoring expectations. July 2026 year-over-year CPI printed at 33.8%, up only modestly from 33.5% in June, while May MoM came in at 2.1–2.3%—below consensus—and analysts surveyed by the central bank have trimmed their full-year 2026 forecast to roughly 29.8%. These trends position the 1.5–2.0% brackets as the market-implied consensus for August, reflecting trader assessment that disinflation momentum persists but may encounter stickiness from regulated prices and seasonal factors. The next INDEC release in mid-September will resolve the contract, with any further softening in core components or peso stability likely to reinforce probabilities clustered near 2%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 44.6%
1.5-1.7% 31.8%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
32%
1.8-2.0%
45%
2.1-2.3%
16%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 44.6%
1.5-1.7% 31.8%
2.1-2.3% 22.5%
≤1.1% <1%
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
32%
1.8-2.0%
45%
2.1-2.3%
16%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Rynek otwarty: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly inflation readings in Argentina have decelerated toward the low-2% range amid President Milei’s sustained fiscal austerity, spending cuts, and exchange-rate band adjustments aimed at rebuilding reserves and anchoring expectations. July 2026 year-over-year CPI printed at 33.8%, up only modestly from 33.5% in June, while May MoM came in at 2.1–2.3%—below consensus—and analysts surveyed by the central bank have trimmed their full-year 2026 forecast to roughly 29.8%. These trends position the 1.5–2.0% brackets as the market-implied consensus for August, reflecting trader assessment that disinflation momentum persists but may encounter stickiness from regulated prices and seasonal factors. The next INDEC release in mid-September will resolve the contract, with any further softening in core components or peso stability likely to reinforce probabilities clustered near 2%.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano



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