Recent supply recovery in U.S. egg production, fueled by fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza cases and flock rebuilding to 308 million layers, has driven the market-implied probability of a $2.00–$2.25 dozen price to 64 percent. Retail averages fell to $2.25 in April per Bureau of Labor Statistics data, down nearly 40 percent year-over-year, as wholesale values stabilized near $1.00 amid rising output and softer post-holiday demand. Trader consensus reflects this normalization trajectory while pricing in residual volatility from potential seasonal outbreaks. Key near-term catalysts include May USDA production reports and any new HPAI detections that could tighten supply and shift probabilities toward higher bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPrice of Dozen Eggs in May?
Price of Dozen Eggs in May?
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 27%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.00–$3.25 2.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 10, 2026
<$1.50
1%
$1.50–$1.75
2%
$1.75–$2.00
8%
$2.00–$2.25
64%
$2.25–$2.50
27%
$2.50–$2.75
2%
$2.75–$3.00
1%
$3.00–$3.25
3%
$3.25–$3.50
2%
≥$3.50
1%
$2.00–$2.25 64%
$2.25–$2.50 27%
$1.75–$2.00 8%
$3.00–$3.25 2.5%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 10, 2026
<$1.50
$79 Wol.
1%
$1.50–$1.75
$47 Wol.
2%
$1.75–$2.00
$57 Wol.
8%
$2.00–$2.25
$210 Wol.
64%
$2.25–$2.50
$162 Wol.
27%
$2.50–$2.75
$82 Wol.
2%
$2.75–$3.00
$103 Wol.
1%
$3.00–$3.25
$245 Wol.
3%
$3.25–$3.50
$170 Wol.
2%
≥$3.50
$80 Wol.
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Recent supply recovery in U.S. egg production, fueled by fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza cases and flock rebuilding to 308 million layers, has driven the market-implied probability of a $2.00–$2.25 dozen price to 64 percent. Retail averages fell to $2.25 in April per Bureau of Labor Statistics data, down nearly 40 percent year-over-year, as wholesale values stabilized near $1.00 amid rising output and softer post-holiday demand. Trader consensus reflects this normalization trajectory while pricing in residual volatility from potential seasonal outbreaks. Key near-term catalysts include May USDA production reports and any new HPAI detections that could tighten supply and shift probabilities toward higher bins.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,234Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Recent supply recovery in U.S. egg production, fueled by fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza cases and flock rebuilding to 308 million layers, has driven the market-implied probability of a $2.00–$2.25 dozen price to 64 percent. Retail averages fell to $2.25 in April per Bureau of Labor Statistics data, down nearly 40 percent year-over-year, as wholesale values stabilized near $1.00 amid rising output and softer post-holiday demand. Trader consensus reflects this normalization trajectory while pricing in residual volatility from potential seasonal outbreaks. Key near-term catalysts include May USDA production reports and any new HPAI detections that could tighten supply and shift probabilities toward higher bins.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the May data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The May release is presently scheduled for June 10, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Wolumen
$1,234Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 3:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply recovery in U.S. egg production, fueled by fewer highly pathogenic avian influenza cases and flock rebuilding to 308 million layers, has driven the market-implied probability of a $2.00–$2.25 dozen price to 64 percent. Retail averages fell to $2.25 in April per Bureau of Labor Statistics data, down nearly 40 percent year-over-year, as wholesale values stabilized near $1.00 amid rising output and softer post-holiday demand. Trader consensus reflects this normalization trajectory while pricing in residual volatility from potential seasonal outbreaks. Key near-term catalysts include May USDA production reports and any new HPAI detections that could tighten supply and shift probabilities toward higher bins.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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