Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced May 2026 US annual CPI inflation tightly around 4.2%-4.4%, with implied probabilities of 30% for ≥4.4%, 29% for 4.3%, and 23% for 4.2%, reflecting uncertainty in the post-April acceleration. The April CPI report, released May 12, showed headline inflation surging to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 3.8% monthly energy spike (gasoline up 28.4% annually) amid the Iran conflict pushing oil above $100 per barrel, alongside 0.6% shelter and 0.5% food gains. Core CPI rose to 2.8% YoY, underscoring sticky pressures. Key swing factors include energy pass-through persistence, base effects, and May producer prices; resolution awaits the June 10 BLS release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoMay Inflation US - Annual
May Inflation US - Annual
≥4.4% 31%
4.3% 29%
4.2% 23%
4.1% 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
1%
3.4%
1%
3.5%
2%
3.6%
2%
3.7%
3%
3.8%
2%
3.9%
4%
4.0%
2%
4.1%
10%
4.2%
23%
4.3%
29%
≥4.4%
31%
≥4.4% 31%
4.3% 29%
4.2% 23%
4.1% 10%
NOWE
NOWE
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$185 Wol.
1%
3.4%
$115 Wol.
1%
3.5%
$461 Wol.
2%
3.6%
$236 Wol.
2%
3.7%
$240 Wol.
3%
3.8%
$151 Wol.
2%
3.9%
$239 Wol.
4%
4.0%
$343 Wol.
2%
4.1%
$1,286 Wol.
10%
4.2%
$232 Wol.
23%
4.3%
$232 Wol.
29%
≥4.4%
$1,696 Wol.
31%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced May 2026 US annual CPI inflation tightly around 4.2%-4.4%, with implied probabilities of 30% for ≥4.4%, 29% for 4.3%, and 23% for 4.2%, reflecting uncertainty in the post-April acceleration. The April CPI report, released May 12, showed headline inflation surging to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 3.8% monthly energy spike (gasoline up 28.4% annually) amid the Iran conflict pushing oil above $100 per barrel, alongside 0.6% shelter and 0.5% food gains. Core CPI rose to 2.8% YoY, underscoring sticky pressures. Key swing factors include energy pass-through persistence, base effects, and May producer prices; resolution awaits the June 10 BLS release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Rynek otwarty: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Wolumen
$5,415Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced May 2026 US annual CPI inflation tightly around 4.2%-4.4%, with implied probabilities of 30% for ≥4.4%, 29% for 4.3%, and 23% for 4.2%, reflecting uncertainty in the post-April acceleration. The April CPI report, released May 12, showed headline inflation surging to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 3.8% monthly energy spike (gasoline up 28.4% annually) amid the Iran conflict pushing oil above $100 per barrel, alongside 0.6% shelter and 0.5% food gains. Core CPI rose to 2.8% YoY, underscoring sticky pressures. Key swing factors include energy pass-through persistence, base effects, and May producer prices; resolution awaits the June 10 BLS release.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Wolumen
$5,415Data zakończenia
Jun 10, 2026Rynek otwarty
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders, wagering real capital, have priced May 2026 US annual CPI inflation tightly around 4.2%-4.4%, with implied probabilities of 30% for ≥4.4%, 29% for 4.3%, and 23% for 4.2%, reflecting uncertainty in the post-April acceleration. The April CPI report, released May 12, showed headline inflation surging to 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—driven by a 3.8% monthly energy spike (gasoline up 28.4% annually) amid the Iran conflict pushing oil above $100 per barrel, alongside 0.6% shelter and 0.5% food gains. Core CPI rose to 2.8% YoY, underscoring sticky pressures. Key swing factors include energy pass-through persistence, base effects, and May producer prices; resolution awaits the June 10 BLS release.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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