Canada's federal government sharply reduced 2026 temporary resident targets under its Immigration Levels Plan, cutting new student permits by nearly half and temporary worker admissions by 37 percent compared with prior levels while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000. These measures, intended to lower the non-permanent resident share below 5 percent of the total population, have produced consecutive quarterly declines, including a 55,000 drop in the first quarter of 2026 and an annual contraction of roughly 102,000 people in 2025—the first such yearly fall since Confederation. Statistics Canada data show the resulting net migration slowdown continuing into 2026, supporting trader consensus that the full-year decline will exceed prior records amid sustained policy restraint.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWill Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
Will Canada's drop in population in 2026 be the largest on record?
83% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 30, 2027
83% szansa
NOWE
NOWE
Apr 30, 2027
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal government sharply reduced 2026 temporary resident targets under its Immigration Levels Plan, cutting new student permits by nearly half and temporary worker admissions by 37 percent compared with prior levels while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000. These measures, intended to lower the non-permanent resident share below 5 percent of the total population, have produced consecutive quarterly declines, including a 55,000 drop in the first quarter of 2026 and an annual contraction of roughly 102,000 people in 2025—the first such yearly fall since Confederation. Statistics Canada data show the resulting net migration slowdown continuing into 2026, supporting trader consensus that the full-year decline will exceed prior records amid sustained policy restraint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Rynek otwarty: Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ET
Wolumen
$1,813Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Canada's federal government sharply reduced 2026 temporary resident targets under its Immigration Levels Plan, cutting new student permits by nearly half and temporary worker admissions by 37 percent compared with prior levels while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000. These measures, intended to lower the non-permanent resident share below 5 percent of the total population, have produced consecutive quarterly declines, including a 55,000 drop in the first quarter of 2026 and an annual contraction of roughly 102,000 people in 2025—the first such yearly fall since Confederation. Statistics Canada data show the resulting net migration slowdown continuing into 2026, supporting trader consensus that the full-year decline will exceed prior records amid sustained policy restraint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the decrease in the population of Canada from the 4th quarter of 2025 and the 4th quarter of 2026 is greater than that of any year on record. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be the quarterly population estimates release for the 4th quarter of 2026 from StatCan (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start).
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on the most recent data from the last available quarter.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced population estimate report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to population estimate report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Wolumen
$1,813Data zakończenia
Apr 30, 2027Rynek otwarty
Jan 29, 2026, 3:45 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Canada's federal government sharply reduced 2026 temporary resident targets under its Immigration Levels Plan, cutting new student permits by nearly half and temporary worker admissions by 37 percent compared with prior levels while stabilizing permanent resident admissions near 380,000. These measures, intended to lower the non-permanent resident share below 5 percent of the total population, have produced consecutive quarterly declines, including a 55,000 drop in the first quarter of 2026 and an annual contraction of roughly 102,000 people in 2025—the first such yearly fall since Confederation. Statistics Canada data show the resulting net migration slowdown continuing into 2026, supporting trader consensus that the full-year decline will exceed prior records amid sustained policy restraint.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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