Traders are pricing an 87% probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting, with a modest 12.5% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and negligible odds on cuts, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s April hold at 3.75% amid March CPI at 3.3%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have lifted energy prices and pushed inflation above the 2% target, prompting Governor Andrew Bailey to flag potential forceful rate increases later this year if pressures exceed 3.5%. However, slowing wage growth to a five-year low of 3.6% and subdued GDP forecasts near 0.8% are tempering immediate hawkish action. Markets await April CPI and May labor data for clearer signals on whether the restrictive stance will shift before the next decision.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoBank of England decision in June?
Bank of England decision in June?
No change 87%
25 bps increase 13%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$126,337 Wol.
$126,337 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
<1%
25 bps decrease
<1%
No change
87%
25 bps increase
13%
50+ bps increase
<1%
No change 87%
25 bps increase 13%
50+ bps decrease <1%
25 bps decrease <1%
$126,337 Wol.
$126,337 Wol.
Jun 18, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,087 Wol.
<1%
25 bps decrease
$24,169 Wol.
<1%
No change
$29,410 Wol.
87%
25 bps increase
$39,793 Wol.
13%
50+ bps increase
$17,878 Wol.
<1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders are pricing an 87% probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting, with a modest 12.5% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and negligible odds on cuts, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s April hold at 3.75% amid March CPI at 3.3%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have lifted energy prices and pushed inflation above the 2% target, prompting Governor Andrew Bailey to flag potential forceful rate increases later this year if pressures exceed 3.5%. However, slowing wage growth to a five-year low of 3.6% and subdued GDP forecasts near 0.8% are tempering immediate hawkish action. Markets await April CPI and May labor data for clearer signals on whether the restrictive stance will shift before the next decision.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
Wolumen
$126,337Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Traders are pricing an 87% probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting, with a modest 12.5% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and negligible odds on cuts, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s April hold at 3.75% amid March CPI at 3.3%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have lifted energy prices and pushed inflation above the 2% target, prompting Governor Andrew Bailey to flag potential forceful rate increases later this year if pressures exceed 3.5%. However, slowing wage growth to a five-year low of 3.6% and subdued GDP forecasts near 0.8% are tempering immediate hawkish action. Markets await April CPI and May labor data for clearer signals on whether the restrictive stance will shift before the next decision.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Wolumen
$126,337Data zakończenia
Jun 18, 2026Rynek otwarty
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing an 87% probability of no change at the Bank of England’s June 18 meeting, with a modest 12.5% chance of a 25-basis-point hike and negligible odds on cuts, reflecting the Monetary Policy Committee’s April hold at 3.75% amid March CPI at 3.3%. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have lifted energy prices and pushed inflation above the 2% target, prompting Governor Andrew Bailey to flag potential forceful rate increases later this year if pressures exceed 3.5%. However, slowing wage growth to a five-year low of 3.6% and subdued GDP forecasts near 0.8% are tempering immediate hawkish action. Markets await April CPI and May labor data for clearer signals on whether the restrictive stance will shift before the next decision.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania