Cleitinho Azevedo holds the strongest position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, driven by repeated leads in recent surveys such as the late-April Genial/Quaest poll where he reached 35 percent in first-round scenarios and outperformed rivals in runoff simulations. Traders assign him the highest implied probability due to his consistent conservative appeal and low rejection rates across a fragmented field ahead of July party conventions. Rodrigo Pacheco trails on the back of his April party switch to the PSB and potential coalition support from President Lula, though polling shows him well behind. Alexandre Kalil and Mateus Simões remain further back, benefiting from name recognition as former Belo Horizonte mayor and vice-governor continuity, respectively, while high undecided voter shares and the October 4 first-round date introduce ongoing volatility into the race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCleitinho Azevedo 47%
Rodrigo Pacheco 26%
Aécio Neves 10.0%
Mateus Simões 7.5%
$23,644 Wol.
$23,644 Wol.

Cleitinho Azevedo
47%

Rodrigo Pacheco
26%

Aécio Neves
11%

Mateus Simões
8%

Alexandre Kalil
7%

Alexandre Silveira
6%

Benoni Mendes
3%

Nikolas Ferreira
2%

Tadeu Leite
2%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 47%
Rodrigo Pacheco 26%
Aécio Neves 10.0%
Mateus Simões 7.5%
$23,644 Wol.
$23,644 Wol.

Cleitinho Azevedo
47%

Rodrigo Pacheco
26%

Aécio Neves
11%

Mateus Simões
8%

Alexandre Kalil
7%

Alexandre Silveira
6%

Benoni Mendes
3%

Nikolas Ferreira
2%

Tadeu Leite
2%

Gabriel Azevedo
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo holds the strongest position in the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race, driven by repeated leads in recent surveys such as the late-April Genial/Quaest poll where he reached 35 percent in first-round scenarios and outperformed rivals in runoff simulations. Traders assign him the highest implied probability due to his consistent conservative appeal and low rejection rates across a fragmented field ahead of July party conventions. Rodrigo Pacheco trails on the back of his April party switch to the PSB and potential coalition support from President Lula, though polling shows him well behind. Alexandre Kalil and Mateus Simões remain further back, benefiting from name recognition as former Belo Horizonte mayor and vice-governor continuity, respectively, while high undecided voter shares and the October 4 first-round date introduce ongoing volatility into the race.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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