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Polityka·Brazylia

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

icon for Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate
Polityka·Brazylia

Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate

Alfredo Gaspar 93%

Tereza Cristina 10%

Daniella Marques 10%

Michelle Bolsonaro 6.0%

Polymarket
NOWE

Alfredo Gaspar 93%

Tereza Cristina 10%

Daniella Marques 10%

Michelle Bolsonaro 6.0%

Polymarket
NOWE
icon for Alfredo Gaspar

Alfredo Gaspar

$182 Wol.

76%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$128 Wol.

10%

icon for Daniella Marques

Daniella Marques

$335 Wol.

10%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$107 Wol.

22%

icon for Simone Marquetto

Simone Marquetto

$81 Wol.

5%

icon for Marcos Pontes

Marcos Pontes

$177 Wol.

1%

icon for Rogério Marinho

Rogério Marinho

$784 Wol.

1%

icon for Júlia Zanatta

Júlia Zanatta

$60 Wol.

1%

icon for Clarissa Tércio

Clarissa Tércio

$107 Wol.

-

icon for Damares Alves

Damares Alves

$73 Wol.

-

icon for Renata Abreu

Renata Abreu

$73 Wol.

-

icon for Gilson Machado

Gilson Machado

$73 Wol.

-

icon for Bia Kicis

Bia Kicis

$66 Wol.

-

icon for Priscila Costa

Priscila Costa

$218 Wol.

-

icon for Rosana Valle

Rosana Valle

$73 Wol.

-

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).**Alfredo Gaspar leads the "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" market at 75.5% after Flávio Bolsonaro announced the PL federal deputy from Alagoas as his running mate on August 5, 2026, forming an all-PL ticket for the October presidential election.** The choice followed stalled alliance talks with other parties and unsuccessful efforts to add a female candidate such as Daniella Marques or Tereza Cristina to broaden appeal. Earlier speculation around figures including Bia Kicis, Priscila Costa, and Rosana Valle produced lower market prices that have since declined. Gaspar’s internal party selection and recent Senate bid in his home state reinforced trader consensus around the confirmed ticket, while lower-probability names reflect limited remaining uncertainty ahead of formal convention processes.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$2,537
Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).**Alfredo Gaspar leads the "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" market at 75.5% after Flávio Bolsonaro announced the PL federal deputy from Alagoas as his running mate on August 5, 2026, forming an all-PL ticket for the October presidential election.** The choice followed stalled alliance talks with other parties and unsuccessful efforts to add a female candidate such as Daniella Marques or Tereza Cristina to broaden appeal. Earlier speculation around figures including Bia Kicis, Priscila Costa, and Rosana Valle produced lower market prices that have since declined. Gaspar’s internal party selection and recent Senate bid in his home state reinforced trader consensus around the confirmed ticket, while lower-probability names reflect limited remaining uncertainty ahead of formal convention processes.

This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections.

An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.

If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Wolumen
$2,537
Data zakończenia
Aug 15, 2026
Rynek otwarty
Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the first individual officially registered to be the Vice Presidential candidate of Flavio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazil presidential elections. An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify. If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”. Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).

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Często zadawane pytania

"Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" to rynek prognoz na Polymarket z 15 możliwymi wynikami, gdzie traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały na podstawie tego, co ich zdaniem się wydarzy. Obecny wiodący wynik to "Alfredo Gaspar" z 76%, za nim "Gilson Machado" z 40%. Ceny odzwierciedlają zbiorowe prawdopodobieństwa w czasie rzeczywistym. Na przykład udział wyceniony na 76¢ implikuje, że rynek zbiorowo przypisuje 76% szansy na ten wynik. Te kursy zmieniają się ciągle, gdy traderzy reagują na nowe informacje. Udziały w poprawnym wyniku można wymienić na $1 za sztukę po rozstrzygnięciu rynku.

"Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" to nowo utworzony rynek na Polymarket, uruchomiony Aug 4, 2026. Jako wczesny rynek, to Twoja okazja, aby być jednym z pierwszych traderów, którzy ustalą kursy i określą początkowe sygnały cenowe rynku. Możesz też dodać tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić wolumen i aktywność handlową w miarę rozwoju rynku.

Aby handlować na "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate", przeglądaj 15 dostępnych wyników na tej stronie. Każdy wynik wyświetla bieżącą cenę reprezentującą implikowane prawdopodobieństwo rynku. Aby zająć pozycję, wybierz wynik, który uważasz za najbardziej prawdopodobny, wybierz "Tak", aby handlować na jego korzyść, lub "Nie", aby handlować przeciw niemu, wpisz kwotę i kliknij "Handluj". Jeśli wybrany wynik okaże się poprawny, Twoje udziały "Tak" wypłacą $1 za sztukę. Jeśli jest niepoprawny, wypłacą $0. Możesz też sprzedać swoje udziały w dowolnym momencie przed rozstrzygnięciem.

Obecnym faworytem dla "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" jest "Alfredo Gaspar" z 76%, co oznacza, że rynek przypisuje 76% szansy na ten wynik. Następny najbliższy wynik to "Gilson Machado" z 40%. Te kursy aktualizują się w czasie rzeczywistym, gdy traderzy kupują i sprzedają udziały, odzwierciedlając najnowszy zbiorowy pogląd na to, co jest najbardziej prawdopodobne. Sprawdzaj regularnie lub dodaj tę stronę do zakładek, aby śledzić zmiany kursów.

Zasady rozstrzygania "Flavio Bolsonaro VP Candidate" określają dokładnie, co musi się wydarzyć, aby każdy wynik został ogłoszony zwycięzcą — w tym oficjalne źródła danych używane do ustalenia wyniku. Możesz przejrzeć pełne kryteria rozstrzygania w sekcji "Zasady" na tej stronie nad komentarzami. Zalecamy dokładne zapoznanie się z zasadami przed handlem, ponieważ określają one precyzyjne warunki, przypadki graniczne i źródła regulujące rozstrzyganie tego rynku.