Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho resigned to run for Senate, leads recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote and holds the highest market price. AtlasIntel’s mid-September survey showed her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with valid votes at 52% to 44.8%; a simulated runoff narrowed to 50.2%–45.4%. Earlier Quaest and Real Time surveys registered technical ties or smaller gaps amid 14–29% undecided or blank responses. Daniel Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor, remains the primary challenger while minor candidates trail far behind. Traders price the contest as competitive because large undecided blocs and late campaign events could still shift support before the first-round threshold or potential October 25 runoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoHana Ghassan 57%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$45,834 Wol.
$45,834 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
57%
Dr. Daniel Santos
39%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Hana Ghassan 57%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$45,834 Wol.
$45,834 Wol.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$17,038 Wol.
57%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$12,154 Wol.
39%
Éder Mauro
$5,288 Wol.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,815 Wol.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,811 Wol.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,872 Wol.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,855 Wol.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho resigned to run for Senate, leads recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote and holds the highest market price. AtlasIntel’s mid-September survey showed her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with valid votes at 52% to 44.8%; a simulated runoff narrowed to 50.2%–45.4%. Earlier Quaest and Real Time surveys registered technical ties or smaller gaps amid 14–29% undecided or blank responses. Daniel Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor, remains the primary challenger while minor candidates trail far behind. Traders price the contest as competitive because large undecided blocs and late campaign events could still shift support before the first-round threshold or potential October 25 runoff.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Rynek otwarty: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Wolumen
$45,834Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho resigned to run for Senate, leads recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote and holds the highest market price. AtlasIntel’s mid-September survey showed her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with valid votes at 52% to 44.8%; a simulated runoff narrowed to 50.2%–45.4%. Earlier Quaest and Real Time surveys registered technical ties or smaller gaps amid 14–29% undecided or blank responses. Daniel Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor, remains the primary challenger while minor candidates trail far behind. Traders price the contest as competitive because large undecided blocs and late campaign events could still shift support before the first-round threshold or potential October 25 runoff.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Wolumen
$45,834Data zakończenia
Oct 5, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Helder Barbalho resigned to run for Senate, leads recent polling for the October 4 first-round vote and holds the highest market price. AtlasIntel’s mid-September survey showed her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, with valid votes at 52% to 44.8%; a simulated runoff narrowed to 50.2%–45.4%. Earlier Quaest and Real Time surveys registered technical ties or smaller gaps amid 14–29% undecided or blank responses. Daniel Santos, the former Ananindeua mayor, remains the primary challenger while minor candidates trail far behind. Traders price the contest as competitive because large undecided blocs and late campaign events could still shift support before the first-round threshold or potential October 25 runoff.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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