Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a tight contest for second place amid a fragmented field of established parties. Recent polling and campaign activity show the ruling RNI and opposition PAM running nearly even for the lead, with Istiqlal positioned to influence coalition math and seat distribution. The PJD’s organized recovery effort under its former leader adds uncertainty, while voter concerns over employment, purchasing power, and public services shape turnout expectations. Party platforms emphasize job creation targets and social spending, yet low youth registration and historical turnout patterns limit shifts in implied probabilities. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with limited separation possible from final regional results or last-minute voter mobilization.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoPJD 45.8%
RNI 34%
PAM 22%
PI 15.2%
$33,246 Wol.
$33,246 Wol.

PJD
46%

RNI
40%

PAM
19%

PI
15%

UC
1%

MP
1%

USFP
<1%

PPS
<1%
PJD 45.8%
RNI 34%
PAM 22%
PI 15.2%
$33,246 Wol.
$33,246 Wol.

PJD
46%

RNI
40%

PAM
19%

PI
15%

UC
1%

MP
1%

USFP
<1%

PPS
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Rynek otwarty: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Rozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Morocco’s September 23 legislative elections feature a tight contest for second place amid a fragmented field of established parties. Recent polling and campaign activity show the ruling RNI and opposition PAM running nearly even for the lead, with Istiqlal positioned to influence coalition math and seat distribution. The PJD’s organized recovery effort under its former leader adds uncertainty, while voter concerns over employment, purchasing power, and public services shape turnout expectations. Party platforms emphasize job creation targets and social spending, yet low youth registration and historical turnout patterns limit shifts in implied probabilities. Trader consensus reflects this balance, with limited separation possible from final regional results or last-minute voter mobilization.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano

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