Recent local election results in Camden show the Greens closing the gap on Labour to around 28% of the vote across the constituency's wards, reflecting sustained organizational growth and voter shifts on the left following the 2024 general election where the party took 10.4%. Zack Polanski's selection as the Green candidate, backed by former independent runner Andrew Feinstein, has consolidated progressive support and raised the party's profile ahead of the 8 October poll. Labour's choice of Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali leverages local incumbency and party machinery to defend the seat's long-standing majority. With no dedicated constituency polling available and a short campaign window, traders see the Green share as finely balanced in the low-to-mid 20s, where further doorstep momentum or national political developments could widen or narrow the range before voting day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano<20% 27%
25-30% 24%
20-25% 18%
35-40% 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 8, 2026
<20%
27%
20-25%
18%
25-30%
24%
30-35%
15%
35-40%
15%
40%+
13%
<20% 27%
25-30% 24%
20-25% 18%
35-40% 15%
NOWE
NOWE
Oct 8, 2026
<20%
$0 Wol.
27%
20-25%
$20 Wol.
18%
25-30%
$20 Wol.
24%
30-35%
$0 Wol.
15%
35-40%
$0 Wol.
15%
40%+
$20 Wol.
13%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Recent local election results in Camden show the Greens closing the gap on Labour to around 28% of the vote across the constituency's wards, reflecting sustained organizational growth and voter shifts on the left following the 2024 general election where the party took 10.4%. Zack Polanski's selection as the Green candidate, backed by former independent runner Andrew Feinstein, has consolidated progressive support and raised the party's profile ahead of the 8 October poll. Labour's choice of Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali leverages local incumbency and party machinery to defend the seat's long-standing majority. With no dedicated constituency polling available and a short campaign window, traders see the Green share as finely balanced in the low-to-mid 20s, where further doorstep momentum or national political developments could widen or narrow the range before voting day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Rynek otwarty: Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET
Wolumen
$60Data zakończenia
Oct 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).Recent local election results in Camden show the Greens closing the gap on Labour to around 28% of the vote across the constituency's wards, reflecting sustained organizational growth and voter shifts on the left following the 2024 general election where the party took 10.4%. Zack Polanski's selection as the Green candidate, backed by former independent runner Andrew Feinstein, has consolidated progressive support and raised the party's profile ahead of the 8 October poll. Labour's choice of Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali leverages local incumbency and party machinery to defend the seat's long-standing majority. With no dedicated constituency polling available and a short campaign window, traders see the Green share as finely balanced in the low-to-mid 20s, where further doorstep momentum or national political developments could widen or narrow the range before voting day.
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Wolumen
$60Data zakończenia
Oct 8, 2026Rynek otwarty
Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ETRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...Recent local election results in Camden show the Greens closing the gap on Labour to around 28% of the vote across the constituency's wards, reflecting sustained organizational growth and voter shifts on the left following the 2024 general election where the party took 10.4%. Zack Polanski's selection as the Green candidate, backed by former independent runner Andrew Feinstein, has consolidated progressive support and raised the party's profile ahead of the 8 October poll. Labour's choice of Camden Council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali leverages local incumbency and party machinery to defend the seat's long-standing majority. With no dedicated constituency polling available and a short campaign window, traders see the Green share as finely balanced in the low-to-mid 20s, where further doorstep momentum or national political developments could widen or narrow the range before voting day.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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